Kriminologisk læring af udviklingen i indbrud under pandemien

Peter Kruize, Britta Kyvsgaard
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Abstract

AbstractOur (work)lives have changed radically due to the Covid19-pandemic. This unique situation can be perceived as a natural experiment. What happens to the number of burglaries in private residences, businesses/companies, institutions, and holiday homes when many employees work from home and children receive online education? What are we to expect based on criminological theories and what happened in practice? Theory would predict a decrease in the number of burglaries in private homes and an increase in the number of burglaries in companies and institutions. In reality – at least in Denmark – there was a decline in all forms of burglary. The authors point to disruption of the market for stolen goods as a possible decisive factor in the explanation of this unexpected result.
由于新冠肺炎疫情,人们的(工作)生活发生了根本性的变化。这种独特的情况可以被看作是一个自然的实验。当许多员工在家工作,孩子们接受在线教育时,私人住宅、企业/公司、机构和度假屋的入室盗窃案数量会发生什么变化?根据犯罪学理论和实际情况,我们能期待什么?理论上,私人住宅的入室盗窃案数量会减少,而公司和机构的入室盗窃案数量会增加。实际上,至少在丹麦,各种形式的入室盗窃都有所减少。作者指出,在解释这一意想不到的结果时,赃物市场的混乱可能是一个决定性因素。
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