[Part 3. Introduction]

P. Lagadec, Xavier Guilhou
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Abstract

Whenever the issue of new risks and emerging crises arises, the spectre of September 11 casts its shadow. But 9/11 is not the only issue. For instance, Katrina has altered the agenda of influential circles in Washington, which are now calling for an "all-hazards approach" less focused on the single problem of terrorism. More generally, we find ourselves today in a transitional period, marked by global discontinuities with respect to security and vulnerability on all fronts - environment, climate, demographics, public health, technology, social dynamics, economic tensions, geostrategy, violence. Whatever the field, we now see the curtain fall on an era whose mantra was "everything is under control" - the misleading guiding principle that dominated the approach to risk and crisis throughout the years 1980 to 2001. In other words, we have witnessed "the end of zero risk" (Lagadec-Guilhou, 2002), and we now need a new vision and new practices.
(第3部分。介绍)
每当出现新的风险和新出现的危机问题时,“9·11”的幽灵就会投下阴影。但9/11并不是唯一的问题。例如,卡特里娜飓风改变了华盛顿有影响力的圈子的议程,他们现在呼吁采取一种“所有危险的方法”,而不是只关注恐怖主义这个单一问题。更广泛地说,我们今天发现自己处于一个过渡时期,其特点是在所有方面的安全和脆弱性——环境、气候、人口、公共卫生、技术、社会动态、经济紧张局势、地缘战略、暴力——方面的全球不连续性。无论在哪个领域,我们现在都看到,一个以“一切都在控制之中”为口号的时代落下了帷幕——这个具有误导性的指导原则在1980年至2001年期间主导了应对风险和危机的方法。换句话说,我们已经见证了“零风险的终结”(lagade - guilhou, 2002),我们现在需要一个新的愿景和新的实践。
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