Research on Cold Load Forecasting Model Based on Long Short-Term Memory

Honghao Zheng, Xiuming Zhao, Yiteng Wu, Xuhui Song, Kejun Jin, Yingle Li
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Abstract

In order to avoid the peak load of national power system and realize the peak shift and valley filling of power system, a cooling load forecasting method based on long short-term memory is proposed. Firstly, the multi-dimensional external information such as outdoor temperature, environmental humidity and wet bulb temperature are modeled. Then, long short-term memory is used to obtain the historical cooling load information, which can effectively predict the future cooling load demand. The experimental results show that the prediction accuracy of this method is significantly higher than that of manual prediction, and has good mobility. At present, this method has played a good application value in real scenes.
基于长短期记忆的冷负荷预测模型研究
为了避免国家电力系统的峰值负荷,实现电力系统的移峰填谷,提出了一种基于长短期记忆的冷负荷预测方法。首先,对室外温度、环境湿度、湿球温度等多维外部信息进行建模;然后利用长短期记忆获取历史冷负荷信息,有效预测未来冷负荷需求。实验结果表明,该方法的预测精度明显高于人工预测,且具有良好的移动性。目前,该方法在真实场景中已经发挥了很好的应用价值。
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