Financialization and Hysteresis: The Case of Chile

A. Lodhi
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Abstract

The changing relationship between the financial and non-financial sectors in both developed and developing economies during the past three decades has been labelled ‘financialization’ — a process entailing the “metastasization of financial motives, financial markets, financial actors and financial institutions in the operation of domestic and international economies” (Kotz 2009). In Chile, this transformation has been maligned by all manner of deleterious macroeconomic consequences, including tepid real economic growth, increased financial instability, widening distributional inequality, stagnant productivity and, most notably, a ‘missing link’ between profits and investment (T. Palley 2007). By way of a simple, post-Kaleckian, endogenous growth model, we explicate the following overarching causal conduit between these phenomena: a self-perpetuating cycle of rising inequality, financialization, deficiencies in effective demand, financial speculation, reduced investment, stagnant productivity, slow growth, and so forth (Hein 2015). A remedial policy regime, based on inclusive development and the socialization of investment, is accordingly posited.
金融化与滞后性:以智利为例
在过去三十年中,发达经济体和发展中经济体的金融和非金融部门之间不断变化的关系被贴上了“金融化”的标签——这是一个涉及“金融动机、金融市场、金融行为者和金融机构在国内和国际经济运行中的转移”的过程(Kotz 2009)。在智利,这种转变被各种有害的宏观经济后果所破坏,包括实体经济增长不温不热、金融不稳定加剧、分配不平等扩大、生产率停滞不前,最明显的是利润和投资之间的“缺失环节”(T. Palley 2007)。通过一个简单的后卡莱肯内生增长模型,我们解释了这些现象之间的以下总体因果关系:不平等加剧、金融化、有效需求不足、金融投机、投资减少、生产率停滞、增长缓慢等自我延续的循环(Hein 2015)。因此,提出了一种基于包容性发展和投资社会化的补救政策制度。
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