Short Term Load Forecasting Using ANN and WNN

M. Ulagammai
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Abstract

The primary objective of Short-Term Load Forecasting, often known as STLF, is to forecast load with a lead time of anything from one hour to seven days. In this study, we suggest the use of AI approaches for short-term load forecasting. Some examples of these techniques are artificial neural networks (ANN) and wavelet neural networks (WNN) (STLF). A reliable prediction makes the challenge of managing generation and load much more manageable. The ANN and WNN algorithms are used in order to calculate the STLF for the next day. The comparison between the two approaches as well as their performance is outlined, and the normalized MAPE error for one day ahead is shown in the article as well. In addition to this, the Validation is performed on the TNEB testing system. This study provided an application of AI techniques, specifically ANN and WNN, for STLF applications in power systems. For hourly load forecasting, analyses of the capabilities and characteristics of ANN and WNN are done. The suggested strategies have already been tried and tested in actual world settings with great success.
基于神经网络和小波神经网络的短期负荷预测
短期负荷预测(通常称为STLF)的主要目标是预测提前期从1小时到7天不等的负荷。在这项研究中,我们建议使用人工智能方法进行短期负荷预测。这些技术的一些例子是人工神经网络(ANN)和小波神经网络(WNN) (STLF)。可靠的预测使管理生成和负载的挑战更易于管理。为了计算第二天的STLF,使用了ANN和WNN算法。本文概述了这两种方法之间的比较及其性能,并显示了一天前的规范化MAPE误差。除此之外,验证在TNEB测试系统上执行。本研究为电力系统中的STLF应用提供了人工智能技术的应用,特别是人工神经网络和小波神经网络。对于小时负荷预测,分析了人工神经网络和小波神经网络的能力和特点。建议的策略已经在实际世界环境中进行了尝试和测试,并取得了巨大的成功。
本文章由计算机程序翻译,如有差异,请以英文原文为准。
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