Macroprudential Policy and Financial Stability: The Turkish Case

I. Siklar, A. Akça
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Abstract

This study aims to analyse the relationship between financial stability and macroprudential policies in Turkey and investigate the effectiveness of macroprudential policies on the financial stability by using the vector error correction model (VECM). Estimates are realized for the 2010-2017 period by using the monthly data. For this purpose, a composite financial stability indicator (FSI) is formed and an estimation model is developed. Banking sector credit concentration, net position of interbank money market, leverage ratio, capital buffers, reserve requirements and foreign currency loan limits are used as macroprudential policy indicators. According the results obtained from VECM model, the ratios which represent concentration of credit and capital buffer provide a favourable contribution to financial stability while the variables representing the leverage ratio and the net position of banking system in interbank money market negatively affect the financial stability. The study concludes that monetary policy should be supported by macroprudential policy instrument to achieve financial stability.
宏观审慎政策与金融稳定:土耳其案例
本研究旨在分析土耳其金融稳定与宏观审慎政策之间的关系,并利用向量误差修正模型(VECM)研究宏观审慎政策对金融稳定的有效性。2010-2017年期间的估算是通过使用月度数据实现的。为此,构建了金融稳定综合指标(FSI),并建立了估计模型。以银行业信贷集中度、银行间货币市场净头寸、杠杆率、资本缓冲、存款准备金率和外币贷款限额作为宏观审慎政策指标。根据VECM模型的结果,代表信贷集中度和资本缓冲的比率对金融稳定有有利的贡献,而代表银行系统在银行间货币市场的杠杆率和净头寸的变量对金融稳定有不利的影响。研究认为,货币政策应得到宏观审慎政策工具的支持,以实现金融稳定。
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