A simple synthetic human mobility model during COVID-19 lockdown

Vittalis Ayu, Clara Rumondang
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Abstract

Coronavirus-19 (COVID-19) widespread to all corners of the world is strongly correlated to humans as the primary host. This contagious virus is transferred from humans’ close contact through a droplet or airborne transmission. Therefore, to avoid humans’ interactions, government issues regulations to restrict people’s movements, thus limiting the spreading of this virus. However, the suitable restriction scenario must be performed to minimize further problems in another aspect of people’s life such as economic impact as people have to move around to earn some money or shop for ingredients. Hence, the evaluation of the designed lockdown scenario must be performed as soon as possible. This matter raising a concern as the actual evaluation can take a longer time to be completed. To achieve a shorter evaluation period and quicker results, in this research, we aim to build a simple synthetic-based mobility model which mimics the human movement model and evaluated scenarios on this model with a computer-based simulation. We evaluated three different lockdown scenarios, namely: totalLockdown, partialLockdown, and noLockdown. The simulation results found that even though the partialLockdown scenario has a longer spreading time than the one in the totalLockdown scenario, the partial lockdown allowed relaxed constraint on people’s mobility. © 2022 American Institute of Physics Inc.. All rights reserved.
COVID-19封锁期间的简单合成人类流动模型
冠状病毒-19 (COVID-19)在世界各地广泛传播,与人类作为主要宿主密切相关。这种传染性病毒通过飞沫或空气传播,从人类密切接触中传播。因此,为了避免人际交往,政府出台了限制人员流动的规定,从而限制了病毒的传播。然而,必须执行适当的限制方案,以尽量减少人们生活的另一方面的进一步问题,例如经济影响,因为人们不得不四处走动赚钱或购买食材。因此,必须尽快对设计的锁定场景进行评估。这个问题引起了人们的关注,因为实际的评估可能需要更长的时间才能完成。为了缩短评估周期和更快地获得结果,本研究旨在建立一个简单的基于合成的模拟人体运动模型的移动模型,并通过计算机仿真对该模型上的场景进行评估。我们评估了三种不同的封锁方案,即:完全封锁、部分封锁和不封锁。模拟结果表明,尽管部分封锁的传播时间比完全封锁的传播时间长,但部分封锁放宽了对人员流动的限制。©2022美国物理学会。版权所有。
本文章由计算机程序翻译,如有差异,请以英文原文为准。
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