Asset Prices and Federal Reserve Behavior

Marc D. Hayford
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Abstract

The legislated goals of monetary policy are price stability and maximum employment; asset price stability is not a direct goal of monetary policy. In setting monetary policy, does the Fed also consider the level of the stock market? This paper examines empirically if monetary policy, since the October 19, 1987 stock market crash, has been influenced by high valuations of the stock market. A close examination of the data, a careful reading of the FOMC available transcripts and various econometric estimations of an augmented Taylor rule lead to the conclusion that the Fed has accommodated the high valuations of the stock market as measured by the S&P500 Index.
资产价格与美联储行为
货币政策的法定目标是物价稳定和就业最大化;资产价格稳定不是货币政策的直接目标。在制定货币政策时,美联储是否也会考虑股市的水平?本文实证考察了1987年10月19日股市崩盘以来的货币政策是否受到股市高估值的影响。仔细研究这些数据,仔细阅读联邦公开市场委员会(FOMC)现有的会议记录,以及对增强的泰勒规则(Taylor rule)的各种计量经济学估计,可以得出这样的结论:按照标准普尔500指数(S&P500 Index)的衡量,美联储已经适应了股市的高估值。
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