Co-Integration Between Savings and Investment in India and the US: An Econometric Analysis of Feldstein-Horioka Hypothesis

Narender Thakur, Vishnu Das Gupta
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Abstract

This paper econometrically tests the Feldstein-Horioka hypotheses. It uses the domestic savings and domestic investments variables in India and the US in the period 1960- 2014. The Feldstein-Horioka hypotheses states that the cointegration relationship between domestic savings and domestic investments weakens in a country with higher foreign capital mobility and vice-versa. We find that the co-integration relation between the two time-series variables is weakened in the case of the US economy as compared to the Indian economy. These results have policy implications for India as it is opening itself up more to inward foreign investment.
印度和美国储蓄与投资的协整:费尔德斯坦-堀冈假说的计量经济学分析
本文对Feldstein-Horioka假设进行了计量经济学检验。它使用了1960年至2014年期间印度和美国的国内储蓄和国内投资变量。Feldstein-Horioka假设认为,在外资流动性较高的国家,国内储蓄和国内投资之间的协整关系减弱,反之亦然。我们发现,与印度经济相比,美国经济的两个时间序列变量之间的协整关系被削弱了。这些结果对印度具有政策意义,因为印度正进一步向外国投资开放。
本文章由计算机程序翻译,如有差异,请以英文原文为准。
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