Nigerian Manufacturing Sector in the Era of Globalisation: Evidence from an Error Correction Model

C. Agu, Onah Udoka, O. Okoroafor
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Abstract

Purpose: Globalization has been adjudged to be an exploitative instrument used by the Western world to advance their economy at the expense of the developing countries. In view of this, this study was developed to examine the impact of globalisation on the Nigerian manufacturing sector. Method: The study adopted the Autoregressive Distributed Lag (ARDL) and Error Correction Model (ECM) to estimate and analyse the long and short-run impacts of globalisation on manufacturing value added in Nigeria using data collected from KOF Swiss Economic Institute, and World Bank Development Indicators (WDI), covering the period from 1981 to 2020. Findings: The estimated model established that globalisation has a positive connection with manufacturing value added in Nigeria both in the short and long-run, though not statistically significant. Based on the t-statistics of the individual variables, the study came to the conclusion that although globalisation had impacted more positively on the Nigerian economy, there were still rooms for improvement, especially as regards infrastructural development, which shows a negative connection with manufacturing value added. Originality: The study adds to the existing literature on the globalization-growth nexus by looking at the manufacturing sector of the economy, an aspect which most researchers have been neglecting.
全球化时代的尼日利亚制造业:来自误差修正模型的证据
目的:全球化被认为是西方世界以牺牲发展中国家为代价来推进其经济发展的剥削工具。鉴于此,本研究的目的是研究全球化对尼日利亚制造业的影响。方法:本研究采用自回归分布滞后(ARDL)和误差修正模型(ECM),利用KOF瑞士经济研究所和世界银行发展指标(WDI)收集的1981年至2020年期间的数据,估计和分析全球化对尼日利亚制造业增加值的长期和短期影响。研究发现:估计模型表明,全球化与尼日利亚的制造业增加值在短期和长期都有正相关,尽管在统计上不显著。根据个别变量的t统计,该研究得出的结论是,尽管全球化对尼日利亚经济产生了更积极的影响,但仍有改进的余地,特别是在基础设施发展方面,这显示出与制造业增加值的负相关。独创性:该研究通过观察经济的制造业,为全球化与增长关系的现有文献提供了补充,这是大多数研究人员一直忽视的一个方面。
本文章由计算机程序翻译,如有差异,请以英文原文为准。
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