Research on the Relation between OFDI and Export Trade of China

Chun Chen, Hui Peng
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Abstract

Under the promotion of One Belt And One Road strategy, the development of China's foreign direct investment is positive and stable. However, China's export trade is faced with great challenges due to the complicated foreign trade environment such as sino-us trade friction now. Can development of China's OFDI facilitate to break through the development dilemma of China's export trade? Based on the data of 2017 to 2002 of OFDI and export trade, granger causality analysis is carried out between OFDI and export trade in China, demonstrating that China's export trade has a promoting effect on OFDI, meanwhile OFDI cannot promote the development of export trade. Therefore our country is supposed to transfer export trade flows, enabling the export trade to further expand the OFDI. In addition, some measures can be taken to vigorously promote the development of export trade, such as improving enterprise productivity by independent innovation and establishing enterprise export risk aversion mechanism.
中国对外直接投资与出口贸易关系研究
在b一带一路战略的推动下,中国对外直接投资的发展是积极稳定的。然而,由于当前中美贸易摩擦等复杂的对外贸易环境,中国的出口贸易面临着巨大的挑战。中国对外直接投资的发展是否有助于突破中国出口贸易的发展困境?基于2017 - 2002年中国对外直接投资与出口贸易的数据,对中国对外直接投资与出口贸易之间进行格兰杰因果分析,表明中国的出口贸易对对外直接投资有促进作用,而对外直接投资不能促进出口贸易的发展。因此,我国应该转移出口贸易流量,使出口贸易进一步扩大对外直接投资。此外,可以采取一些措施,如通过自主创新提高企业生产率,建立企业出口风险规避机制等,大力促进出口贸易的发展。
本文章由计算机程序翻译,如有差异,请以英文原文为准。
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