Disaster Management of Human Resources

R. Bera, S. Raj
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引用次数: 2

Abstract

We present a potential global disaster scenario never witnessed in the history of mankind — a phase transition in societal structure caused by AI-powered, large scale automation and the common man’s inability to cope and align with the inevitable socio-economic forces unleashed by automation. First, we explain the inevitability of this disaster; second, we explain the magnitude of the disaster; and third, available options in managing the disaster. The principal contributors to the impending disaster is an unavoidable socio-economic phase transition that we infer from a fundamental result in graph theory in mathematics and the magnitude of the disaster is estimated based on the logistic map in chaos theory. The scope of managing the disaster will be extremely limited and restricted largely to the survival of the creatively intelligent among the human species. This disaster will be global, its scale will be massive, and human society will find itself grossly underprepared to deal with it because of its psychological reluctance to accept it as a possibility. That possibility arises because of humanity’s unrelenting march towards a technological singularity as foreseen by Ray Kurzweil, and it is expected to occur within three decades.
人力资源灾害管理
我们呈现了人类历史上从未见过的潜在全球灾难情景——由人工智能驱动的大规模自动化和普通人无法应对和适应自动化释放的不可避免的社会经济力量所导致的社会结构的阶段转变。首先,我们解释了这场灾难的必然性;其次,我们解释了灾难的严重性;第三,管理灾难的可用选项。灾难发生的主要原因是不可避免的社会经济相变,这是我们从数学图论的基本结果中推断出来的,灾难的规模是基于混沌理论中的逻辑映射来估计的。管理灾难的范围将是极其有限的,并且在很大程度上仅限于人类物种中创造性智慧的生存。这场灾难将是全球性的,其规模将是巨大的,人类社会将发现自己对应对它的准备严重不足,因为人类在心理上不愿接受这种可能性。正如雷·库兹韦尔(Ray Kurzweil)所预测的那样,这种可能性的出现是因为人类正在无情地向技术奇点迈进,预计将在30年内发生。
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