Assessment of the Threat From Wildfires on Above Ground Natural Gas Facilities

C. Robinson, Zo Wattis, C. Dooley, Sladjana Popovic
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引用次数: 2

Abstract

In the light of recent experience of wildfires in Alberta and British Columbia, Alliance Pipeline has strengthened their emergency preparedness in dealing with external fire events that have the potential to affect above-ground facilities connected with their high pressure natural gas pipeline system. As part of this initiative a quantitative methodology has been developed that enables the effects of a wildfire on an above-ground pipeline facility to be assessed. The methodology consists of three linked calculations which assess: 1. the severity of the wildfire, based on information from the Canadian Wildland Fire Information System, 2. the transmission of thermal radiation from the wildfire to the facility, and, 3. the response of equipment, structures and buildings to the incident thermal radiation. The predictions of the methodology agree well with the actual damage observed at a lateral block valve site following a wildfire in 2016. Application to example facility types (block valve sites, meter stations and compressor stations) has demonstrated that, in general, damage is only predicted for more vulnerable items such as cables. The sensitivity of the predictions of the methodology to the input parameters and key modelling uncertainties has been examined. This demonstrates that the results are sensitive to the distance of the facility from the tree line and the assumed vegetation type. This shows the importance of verifying the location relative to the vegetation and selecting the appropriate vegetation type from the Canadian Wildland Fire Information System for site specific assessments. The predictions of the methodology are particularly sensitive to the assumed flame temperature. However, a value has been chosen that gives good agreement with measured thermal radiation values from wildfires. Of the mitigation options considered, the most effective and practical is to increase the distance to the tree line. This measure has the advantage of reducing radiation levels for all items on the site. Even though the work shows that failure of exposed pipework due to wildfires is unlikely, maintaining the flow within pipes is recommended as this increases the radiative flux at which failure is predicted to occur. However, as failure of cables and hence control systems would occur at a lower flux levels the fail-safe actions of such systems needs to be confirmed. Shielding of cables or items of equipment in general is likely to be impractical but could be considered for particularly vulnerable equipment or locations.
野火对地面天然气设施的威胁评估
鉴于阿尔伯塔省和不列颠哥伦比亚省最近发生的野火,Alliance Pipeline加强了应急准备,以应对可能影响与其高压天然气管道系统相连的地上设施的外部火灾事件。作为这项倡议的一部分,已经开发了一种定量方法,可以评估野火对地上管道设施的影响。该方法包括三个相互关联的计算,评估:1。野火的严重程度,基于加拿大野火信息系统的信息。从野火到设施的热辐射传输,以及,2。设备、结构和建筑物对入射热辐射的响应。该方法的预测结果与2016年野火后在横向封堵阀现场观察到的实际损害情况非常吻合。应用于举例设施类型(堵头阀站点,仪表站和压缩机站)表明,一般情况下,只预测损坏更脆弱的项目,如电缆。研究了方法预测对输入参数和关键建模不确定性的敏感性。这表明,结果对设施与林木线的距离和假设的植被类型很敏感。这表明核实相对于植被的位置和从加拿大野火信息系统中选择适当的植被类型进行具体地点评估的重要性。该方法的预测对假定的火焰温度特别敏感。然而,所选择的值与野火的热辐射测量值非常吻合。在所考虑的缓解办法中,最有效和最实际的办法是增加到林木线的距离。这一措施的优点是降低了现场所有物品的辐射水平。尽管研究表明,暴露的管道不太可能因野火而发生故障,但建议保持管道内的流量,因为这增加了预计会发生故障的辐射通量。然而,由于在较低的磁通水平下电缆和控制系统会发生故障,因此需要确认此类系统的故障安全作用。一般来说,屏蔽电缆或设备可能不切实际,但对于特别脆弱的设备或地点可以考虑屏蔽。
本文章由计算机程序翻译,如有差异,请以英文原文为准。
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