Application of monetary regimes in monetary policy decision-making process

D. Khokhych, G. Bortnikov
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Abstract

Introduction. The article studies two main monetary regimes in the process of monetary reform of central banks: a target-based regime and a rule-based regime. Inflation targeting is the most common rule of monetary policy. Using the key rate as a monetary policy tool can ensure price stability and economic growth. Problem Statement. Using the interest rate rule of inflation targeting, the central bank has certain advantages over the target variables. If preferences change unexpectedly, they are not taken into account by economic agents as quickly and act as an exogenous shock to the economy. This allows the central bank to test its policy against a rule that is potentially persistent in many cases of macroeconomic models. The purpose is to evaluate the reforms of the monetary regimes of the Reserve Bank of New Zealand and the Federal Reserve System, which are based on legally established rules and instruments of monetary policy, which enables the central bank to make effective monetary decisions to achieve price stability and sustainable employment. Methods. The Taylor rule was used to test the hypothesis that there is a relationship between the inflation target and the variables of the Taylor function, including the gap between GDP and potential GDP, as well as the determination of the key rate based on the quantitative parameters of the target function. This confirms the expediency of applying the Taylor rule when implementing the inflation targeting regime. Results. Reforms of monetary regimes were aimed at clarifying the political responsibility of central banks, strengthening their independence in making decisions related to monetary policy objectives. The reforms were supposed to contribute to increasing the level of transparency by improving the effectiveness of the communication policy, which consisted in transmitting policy decisions from the central bank to the public and signaling future political intentions. In general, the responsibility in the inflation targeting regime is enhanced by the public nature of the assumed obligations related to the announced goal and the requirements put forward by the central bank regarding its implementation. Achieving the goal becomes an indicator of the central bank's effective activity. Conclusions. Many of the aspects that were introduced in New Zealand and the US – the public commitment to an inflation target, high levels of transparency and accountability – are now considered the best practice in monetary policy. Making targets public promotes accountability, especially if the central bank has a single policy objective – price stability or an inflation target. Otherwise, broad independence in decision-making may make the central bank less accountable, and therefore independence should be clearly linked to the objectives rather than the choice of instruments, which is the best strategy for central bank reform.
货币制度在货币政策决策过程中的应用
介绍。本文研究了中央银行货币改革过程中的两种主要货币制度:目标本位制度和规则本位制度。通货膨胀目标制是货币政策中最常见的规则。使用关键利率作为货币政策工具可以确保价格稳定和经济增长。问题陈述。采用通货膨胀目标制的利率规则,中央银行对目标变量具有一定的优势。如果偏好出乎意料地发生变化,它们不会被经济主体迅速考虑在内,并对经济产生外生冲击。这使得央行可以根据一种在许多宏观经济模型中可能持续存在的规则来测试其政策。其目的是评价新西兰储备银行和联邦储备系统货币制度的改革,这些制度的基础是法律规定的货币政策规则和工具,这使中央银行能够作出有效的货币决定,以实现价格稳定和可持续就业。方法。运用泰勒规则检验通胀目标与泰勒函数变量(GDP与潜在GDP之差)之间存在关系的假设,以及根据目标函数的定量参数确定关键利率的假设。这证实了在实施通胀目标制时应用泰勒规则的权宜之计。结果。货币制度改革的目的是澄清中央银行的政治责任,加强它们在作出有关货币政策目标的决定方面的独立性。这些改革应该通过提高沟通政策的有效性来提高透明度,沟通政策包括将央行的政策决定传递给公众,并表明未来的政治意图。总的来说,通货膨胀目标制中的责任由于与宣布的目标有关的承担义务的公共性以及中央银行就其实施提出的要求而得到加强。实现这一目标成为衡量央行有效活动的一个指标。结论。新西兰和美国引入的许多方面——对通胀目标的公开承诺、高度的透明度和问责制——现在被认为是货币政策的最佳实践。公开目标可以促进问责制,特别是如果央行只有一个政策目标——价格稳定或通胀目标。否则,广泛的决策独立性可能会使中央银行的问责性降低,因此独立性应该与目标明确联系起来,而不是与工具的选择联系起来,这是中央银行改革的最佳策略。
本文章由计算机程序翻译,如有差异,请以英文原文为准。
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