Models for Predicting the Value of E-Commerce Trade in China

Abstract

In the literature review, few studies exist, which predict the value of e-commerce. The study establishes models for predicting the value of e-commerce trade in China by use of main statistical indicators and data in Statistical Report on the Internet Development in China released by CNNIC Firstly, factors affecting e- commerce trade value in China and their relation with e-commerce trade value are analyzed. Secondly, models for predicting the future of the factors are proposed. Finally, The combined model is constructed to predict the value of e-commerce in China in the near future, and is proved to be satisfied because the prediction results are close to related statistics released by authority organizations recently.