The Impact of Stock Index Future Trading on Volatility of Underlying Market-Chinese Stock Market

Banyamin Moradi
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Abstract

Stock price index futures have long been viewed by experts and scholars as a risk-hedging trading tool that can help investors’ hedge risk and ensure the healthy and stable development of China's financial stock market. The asset underlying of stock price index futures is the stock price index. The CSI 300 stock index futures, a type of stock price index futures, were created on April 16, 2010, and its birth marked the official start of stock index futures trading in China. After the launch of CSI 300 stock index futures, the China Financial Futures Exchange launched (CFFEX) SSE 50 stock price index futures and CSI 500 stock price index futures one after another. The introduction of stock price index futures trading can bring about an impact on the volatility of the stock spot market to a certain extent and play a role in reducing volatility. The speed of transmission of stock index information to market participant decreases after the China Financial Futures Exchange restricts stock index futures trading. Based on the results that the coefficients of DF-DT, the cross term of the two dummy variables added to the GARCH model, have significant values and values less than zero, it can be analyzed that the restrictive measures taken by the China Financial Futures Exchange on stock index futures trading enhance the mitigating restrictive effect of the introduction of stock index futures trading in China on the volatility of the Chinese stock spot market.
股指期货交易对基础市场波动的影响——中国股票市场
股票价格指数期货长期以来被专家学者视为一种风险对冲交易工具,可以帮助投资者对冲风险,确保中国金融股票市场健康稳定发展。股指期货的标的资产是股指。沪深300股指期货是股价指数期货的一种,于2010年4月16日诞生,它的诞生标志着中国股指期货交易的正式开始。继沪深300股指期货推出后,中国金融期货交易所(CFFEX)也相继推出了上证50股指期货和沪深500股指期货。股指期货交易的引入,可以在一定程度上对股票现货市场的波动率产生影响,起到降低波动率的作用。中国金融期货交易所限制股指期货交易后,股指信息向市场参与者传递的速度降低。根据GARCH模型中加入的两个虚拟变量的交叉项DF-DT的系数均为显著值且小于零的结果,可以分析出中国金融期货交易所对股指期货交易的限制措施增强了中国引入股指期货交易对中国股票现货市场波动的缓解限制作用。
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