Life-Cycle Position and Migration to Urban and Rural Areas: Estimations of a Mixed Logit Model on French Data

C. Détang-Dessendre, F. Goffette-Nagot, V. Piguet
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引用次数: 3

Abstract

Migration flows between urban and rural areas in developed countries show a strong difference in migration destinations with regard to age. Our paper analyses, in the French case, who rural areas attract or repel and what their so-called "pull-factors" are. Our goal is to explain the propensity to migrate and the destination choice among four categories of area (urban centres, suburbs, rural areas under urban influence, rural LMAs), for three age groups. Mixed logit models, that do not rely on the IIA assumption and allow for heterogeneity in individual behaviours are estimated on a large French sample. The results show that the educational level of young people and the labour market characteristics of their initial residential area particularly influence their destination choices. The labour market variables have little influence on the migration decisions of the middle-aged, for whom residential motivations appear to be predominant. The migration decisions of 45-64 years old are clearly residentially motivated changes.
生命周期位置和向城市和农村地区的迁移:法国数据的混合Logit模型的估计
发达国家城市和农村地区之间的移徙流动显示出移徙目的地在年龄方面的巨大差异。以法国为例,我们的论文分析了农村地区吸引或排斥谁,以及他们所谓的“拉动因素”是什么。我们的目标是解释三个年龄组的四类地区(城市中心、郊区、受城市影响的农村地区、农村lma)的迁移倾向和目的地选择。混合logit模型,不依赖于IIA假设,并允许个体行为的异质性是在一个大的法国样本上估计的。结果表明,年轻人的教育水平和其最初居住地区的劳动力市场特征对他们的目的地选择影响较大。劳动力市场变量对中年人的移民决定影响不大,对他们来说,居住动机似乎占主导地位。45-64岁人群的迁移决定明显受到居住动机的影响。
本文章由计算机程序翻译,如有差异,请以英文原文为准。
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