Technological Systems and Momentum Change: American Electric Utilities, Restructuring, and Distributed Generation Technologies.

R. Hirsh, Benjamin Sovacool
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引用次数: 17

Abstract

72 " To draw attention today to technological affairs is to focus on a concern that is as central now as nation building and constitution making were a century ago. Technological affairs contain a rich texture of technical matters, scientific laws, economic principles, political forces, and social concerns. " —Thomas P. Hughes, 1983 The American electric utility system has been massively transformed during the last three decades. Viewed previously as a staid, secure, and heavily regulated natural monopoly, the system has shed elements of government oversight and now appears to be increasingly susceptible to terrorist attacks and other disruptions. Overturning the conventional wisdom of the 1960s and 1970s, dependence on large-scale generation plants and high-voltage transmission networks now seems to decrease reliability of the system. The same hardware also subjects utility companies to pollution concerns at a time when environmental sustainability has become a serious political and economic issue worldwide. Clearly, much of the formerly sound thinking about the utility system has been overturned. But new thinking has evolved as well. For example , many people have begun advocating the use of small-scale, decentralized technologies known collectively as distributed generation (DG), which offers hope that the electric utility system may become more resilient and environmentally friendly in the near future. This article examines the reversal of almost a century of momentum in the electric utility system. To do so, it employs the nonengineering version of the systems approach, which has proven useful for analyzing sociotechnical enterprises. As a subtheme, the article explores long-term and cross-industry trends in the use of technologies; in particular, it notes that industrial use of large-scale technologies, which provide great economies of scale, may have reached limits in certain fields, such that small-scale technologies may have become better suited for use. As another subtheme, the article underscores the importance of nontechnical (i.e., social) action in the development of technologies. In the American utility system, the unintended consequences of an obscure law passed in 1978 spurred deregulatory efforts in the 1990s and the development of commercially viable renewable energy and distributed generation technologies. The encouragement of these environmentally preferable and DG facilities continued during the political chaos that emerged early in the twenty-first century, when utility restructuring became questioned in many states. Using the Systems Approach to Understand Technological Change To help understand the historical development of electric utilities, one can fruitfully use the " systems approach …
技术系统和动力变化:美国电力公用事业、重组和分布式发电技术。
72 .今天把注意力吸引到技术事务上,就是把注意力集中在一个问题上,这个问题就像一个世纪前的国家建设和宪法制定一样重要。技术事务包含了技术问题、科学规律、经济原则、政治力量和社会关注的丰富结构。——托马斯·p·休斯,1983年在过去的三十年里,美国的电力系统发生了巨大的变化。该系统以前被视为一种古旧、安全、受到严格监管的自然垄断,现在已经摆脱了政府监管的因素,似乎越来越容易受到恐怖袭击和其他破坏的影响。对大型发电厂和高压输电网络的依赖,推翻了20世纪60年代和70年代的传统观念,现在似乎降低了系统的可靠性。在环境可持续性已成为全球严重的政治和经济问题之际,同样的硬件也使公用事业公司受到污染问题的困扰。很明显,很多以前关于公用事业系统的合理想法已经被推翻了。但新的思维也在进化。例如,许多人已经开始提倡使用被统称为分布式发电(DG)的小规模分散技术,这为电力公用事业系统在不久的将来可能变得更有弹性和更环保带来了希望。本文考察了电力公用事业系统近一个世纪以来的势头逆转。为此,它采用了系统方法的非工程版本,这已被证明对分析社会技术型企业很有用。作为副主题,本文探讨了技术使用的长期和跨行业趋势;委员会特别注意到,大规模技术的工业使用可带来巨大的规模经济,但在某些领域可能已达到极限,因此小规模技术可能更适合使用。作为另一个副主题,文章强调了非技术(即社会)行动在技术发展中的重要性。在美国公用事业系统中,1978年通过的一项模糊法律的意外后果刺激了20世纪90年代放松管制的努力,以及商业上可行的可再生能源和分布式发电技术的发展。在21世纪初出现的政治混乱期间,这些环保和DG设施的鼓励仍在继续,当时许多州的公用事业重组受到质疑。用系统方法理解技术变革为了帮助理解电力事业的历史发展,我们可以有效地使用“系统方法……”
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