The Arab States

Adnan Badran
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引用次数: 14

Abstract

IntroductIon The Arab world stretches from the Indian Ocean in the East to the Atlantic Ocean in the West. The 20 Arab countries occupy the Southern and Eastern shores of the Mediterranean and enclose the Red sea. It is an area of historical importance, as it is the birthplace of the world’s three Abrahamic religions. For centuries, the region was a hub of groundbreaking science. It has contemporary strategic importance owing to its location and a wealth of subterranean natural resources, essentially in the form of oil and natural gas – 32% of the world’s known natural gas reserves are to be found in the region – as well as phosphate: Morocco alone possesses more than half of the world’s reserves. The region encompasses remarkable cultural similarities as well as highly distinct political and economic systems with a heterogeneous social fabric. Its peoples share a commonality of language, history and religion but their societies are at variance in terms of natural wealth, governance, currency, traditions and socioeconomic systems. The period since the UNESCO Science Report 2005 appeared has been one of mixed fortunes for Arab countries. The region has witnessed continuing political upheaval and military conflict in the Gaza and the West Bank, Iraq, Lebanon, and Sudan. The oil-exporting Arab states of Kuwait, Qatar, Saudi Arabia and the United Arab Emirates have enjoyed a short-lived downpour of revenue resulting from the hike in international oil prices to a peak of more than US$140 a barrel in July 2008. Conversely, oil-importing countries such as Jordan, Tunisia and Morocco have faced fiscal difficulties due to their mounting national energy bills, a situation compounded by the associated rise in the cost of imported food commodities. The subsequent plummet in oil prices, which fell to about US$40 by the end of 2008 before recovering slightly in 2009, has brought this exceptional situation to an end. It has also highlighted the volatility of oil prices and the need for Arab oil-exporting countries to diversify their economies in future. Notwithstanding these difficulties, the same period also witnessed renewed interest on the part of many Arab countries in reinvigorating science and technology (S&T) and higher education, with the launch of a number of top-down initiatives to support education and research. Some of these will be highlighted in tentsapproved plans to allocate more resources to research and development (R&D) among them Egypt, Tunisia and Qatar. The current global economic recession may not affect Arab states in the immediate term, as the banking sector in the majority of Arab states is highly regulated and only loosely linked to international money markets. However, the economic fallout will ultimately be felt by all, negatively affecting foreign direct investment flowing into Arab countries and real estate markets. This will cause a slowdown in economic growth and a rise in unemployment in the region. Arab countries reliant on exporting goods and services to the USA and European Union (EU) and those that normally receive aid from these quarters may suffer. Even before the economic crisis emerged in the last quarter of 2008, unemployment in the Arab world was higher than in any other part of the world, at around 12%. Young job-seekers constitute over 40% of the region’s unemployed. Despite the international economic uncertainty, Arab states will have no choice but to stimulate science, technology and innovation (STI), together with the education sector, if only to overcome some lingering problems like food, water and energy insecurity. Arab countries can also learn from the remarkable socio-economic progress of countries such as Brazil, China, India, Malaysia and Mexico, due in part to S&T.
阿拉伯国家
阿拉伯世界东起印度洋,西至大西洋。20个阿拉伯国家占据了地中海的南岸和东岸,并包围了红海。这是一个具有重要历史意义的地区,因为它是世界三大亚伯拉罕宗教的发源地。几个世纪以来,该地区一直是突破性科学的中心。由于其地理位置和丰富的地下自然资源,主要是石油和天然气- -该地区将发现世界已知天然气储量的32% - -以及磷酸盐,它具有当代战略重要性:仅摩洛哥就拥有世界储量的一半以上。该地区具有显著的文化相似性,以及具有异质社会结构的高度不同的政治和经济制度。亚洲各国人民拥有共同的语言、历史和宗教,但他们的社会在自然财富、治理、货币、传统和社会经济制度方面存在差异。自联合国教科文组织2005年科学报告发布以来,阿拉伯国家的命运好坏参半。该地区在加沙和西岸、伊拉克、黎巴嫩和苏丹目睹了持续的政治动荡和军事冲突。2008年7月,国际油价飙升至每桶140美元以上的峰值,导致科威特、卡塔尔、沙特阿拉伯和阿拉伯联合酋长国等阿拉伯石油出口国获得了短暂的收入骤雨。相反,约旦、突尼斯和摩洛哥等石油进口国由于国家能源费用不断增加而面临财政困难,而进口粮食商品价格的相应上涨又使这种情况更加复杂。随后油价暴跌,到2008年底跌至40美元左右,2009年略有回升,结束了这一特殊情况。它还突出了石油价格的波动以及阿拉伯石油出口国未来实现经济多样化的必要性。尽管存在这些困难,但在同一时期,许多阿拉伯国家也重新燃起了振兴科学技术和高等教育的兴趣,启动了一些自上而下的支持教育和研究的举措。其中一些国家将在批准的计划中得到强调,这些国家包括埃及、突尼斯和卡塔尔,将更多资源分配给研发(R&D)。当前的全球经济衰退可能不会在短期内影响阿拉伯国家,因为大多数阿拉伯国家的银行业受到高度监管,与国际货币市场的联系很松散。然而,所有人最终都会感受到经济后果,对流入阿拉伯国家和房地产市场的外国直接投资产生负面影响。这将导致该地区经济增长放缓和失业率上升。依赖向美国和欧盟出口商品和服务的阿拉伯国家以及那些通常从这些地区获得援助的国家可能会受到影响。甚至在2008年第四季度经济危机爆发之前,阿拉伯世界的失业率就已经达到了12%左右,高于世界其他任何地区。年轻的求职者占该地区失业人口的40%以上。尽管国际经济不确定,阿拉伯国家将别无选择,只能刺激科学、技术和创新(STI),以及教育部门,如果只是为了克服一些挥之不去的问题,如食品、水和能源不安全。阿拉伯国家还可以从巴西、中国、印度、马来西亚和墨西哥等国家取得的显著的社会经济进步中学习,这在一定程度上要归功于科技。
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