Criminogenicity of Migration Processes: and Again about the Risk Scale

Abstract

The relevance of the study is due to the need for constant monitoring of the criminogenic risks of migration processes, including those associated with illegal migration, a phenomenon difficult for criminological assessment that poses a threat to national security. Purpose: rethinking the risks of criminogenicity of migration processes to improve measures to counter national and transnational crime. Objectives: to obtain objective data on the structure of migration crime; to identify trends in its development in order to meaningfully fill the scale of risks of migration processes; generalization of the results obtained. The research methodology is based on a dialectical approach, also includes sociological, statistical, expert assessment method, analysis, synthesis, mathematical, comparative methods. The results. Based on the analysis of up-to-date official statistics and comparison of the results with previously obtained data, as well as expert assessments, the objectivity of which is due to the high latency of migration crime, the criminogenic migration risks corresponding to the average risk indicators have been adjusted. The results obtained are structured depending on the status of migrants and the prevalence of acts committed by them or in relation to them and are summarized in the scale of criminogenicity risks of migration processes (migration) (from minimal to ultra-high). Conclusions. Based on the results of the study, particular conclusions were made about the appropriateness of adjusting the accounting system for crimes committed by foreign citizens and stateless persons and in relation to them, and rethinking the criminological approach to determining migration crime that does not include a group of acts directly related to illegal migration (articles 322.1, 322.2, 322.3 of the Criminal Code The Russian Federation), as well as the general conclusion about the need for constant monitoring of the criminogenic risks of migration (especially its uncontrolled part) in order to coordinate migration policy and counteract various types of crime, which is of great par-ticular importance in the unstable migration situation during crises.