Macro Analysis of Renewable Energy Impacting on the Electric Power Future Market in the World

Yongchao Sun, Mei Sun, Xuelian Tang
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Abstract

In the recent years, with the development of green finance, investors and government pay more attention to the renewable energy development all over the world. As main part of usable energy, electricity industry will certainly be affected deeply by renewable energy in the future. This paper tries to give a macro analysis about how the electric power future market impacted by the renewable energy and suggests that Arbitraging and speculation for investors and financial institutions in the short term is supposed to operated according to the production of fossil energy based power generation and the demand of electricity related to industry development and economic situation. In the medium and long term, if renewable energy based power generation develops into majority, in the short-term fluctuation, position ought to be bought in accordance with weather and climate forecast; in the long-term price movements, position should be bought before major technical research results in renewable energy based power generation.
可再生能源对世界电力未来市场影响的宏观分析
近年来,随着绿色金融的发展,可再生能源的发展受到了各国投资者和政府的高度关注。电力工业作为可用能源的重要组成部分,未来必将受到可再生能源的深刻影响。本文试图从宏观上分析可再生能源对电力未来市场的影响,提出投资者和金融机构在短期内的套利和投机行为应根据化石能源发电的生产情况以及与行业发展和经济形势相关的电力需求进行操作。中长期来看,如果以可再生能源发电为主发展为主,在短期波动时,应根据天气和气候预报进行持仓;在长期价格变动中,应在重大技术研究成果之前买入以可再生能源发电为主的头寸。
本文章由计算机程序翻译,如有差异,请以英文原文为准。
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