Impact of urea price change on the economic optimum level of N fertilizer use in HYV rice and its yield in Bangladesh

S. Rahman, Mohammad Mizanul Haque Kazal, S. T. Hossain
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Abstract

The study estimates the impact of change in urea price on the economic optimum level of N fertilizer use in HYV rice and its yield in Bangladesh using a large set of experimental data of BRRIfrom 15 regions covering an 11 year period (2001–2011). Results revealed that the level of N fertilizer usedin experiments to increase HYV rice yield was far lower than the economic optimum level in Aman and Boro seasonsbut higher in Aus season. The discrepancy was highest for HYV Boro rice closely followed by HYV Aman rice. Simulation exercise revealed that an increase in real price of urea by 50% will exert a 4% reduction in optimum dose of N fertilizer in HYV Amanrice and reduce yield by 101.2 kg/ha which issubstantial. The corresponding effect on HYV Bororice is relatively lowerand negligible for HYV Aus rice. The result highlights the dilemma and the detrimental effect of urea price increase on the yield ofHYV Aman rice which is the main source of foodgrain supply for the nation. Therefore, price policy should be geared towards controlling relative price of urea which can be met by a combination of subsidizing urea price and/or improving rice price.
尿素价格变化对孟加拉国HYV水稻氮肥经济最优用量及其产量的影响
本研究利用15个地区11年(2001-2011年)的大量brri试验数据,估算了尿素价格变化对孟加拉国HYV水稻氮肥经济最优用量及其产量的影响。结果表明,水稻增产试验中氮肥用量在阿曼和波罗季远低于经济最优用量,而在Aus季高于经济最优用量。HYV Boro水稻的差异最大,其次是HYV Aman水稻。模拟结果表明,尿素实际价格每增加50%,HYV Amanrice的最佳氮肥用量将减少4%,产量减少101.2 kg/ha。对HYV硼酸盐的相应影响相对较低,对HYV Aus水稻可以忽略不计。这一结果凸显了尿素价格上涨对hyv Aman水稻产量的不利影响,而hyv Aman水稻是全国粮食供应的主要来源。因此,价格政策应着眼于控制尿素的相对价格,这可以通过补贴尿素价格和提高大米价格相结合来实现。
本文章由计算机程序翻译,如有差异,请以英文原文为准。
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