Analysis of Spatial and Temporal Climate Characteristics in North Eastern Ethiopia: Case Study of North Wollo Zone

Wagaye Bahiru, Eshetu Zewdu
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Abstract

In Ethiopia, agriculture is the most important sector; the corner stone of the economy; which is a source of livelihood for more than 85% of Ethiopians; and contributes nearly 50% of the Growth Domestic Product (GDP) of the country. However, the production performance of the sector is largely depending on the good will of seasonal climate characteristics due to its long-lasting marriage of rain-fed based farming system. Therefore, this study was aimed to investigate the climate characteristics of a region, in north eastern Ethiopia, using seventeen meteorological stations having 31 years of observed rainfall and temperature time series data. Rainfall variability of annual and seasonal climate characteristics were subjected for rainfall anomaly index and coefficient of variation statistics and Mann-Kendall trend test approach were applied to investigate trends of rainfall and temperature in the region over the last 31-years. The result shows that rainfall and temperature were varied across location and time. In this region, mean annual rainfall ranges from 531 mm; over some pocket areas of western, central and north eastern parts; to 1005mm in south eastern region of north Wollo. In terms of rainfall distribution, the area receives rainfall two times a year; from June to September (kiremt) and from Mid-February to Mid-May (Belg) period. In this regard, rainfall during belg is highly erratic and unstable relative to the main growing season. The location wide analysis concluded that variation in season onset; cessation and growing season length were observed across from location to location. According to the study, 4-July (DOY=166) and 4-Octoner (DOY=278), in respective order, were estimated as mean dates that the season starts and ends. Further, the analysis revealed, in general, the season onset ranges from 15-June (at Lalibela) to 16-July (at Tekulishi); and end of growing season varies from 21-September (Zobil) to 15-October (Sirinka). In general, investigating annual and seasonal climate characteristics; particularly the characteristics of onset, cessation and length of growing season: helps to undertake manageable farming practices that would be suited with local climate potentials. Indeed, climate information has a huge impact on management of seasonal farming activities that would be undertaken during preseason, in season, and post season farming activities.
埃塞俄比亚东北部气候时空特征分析——以北沃罗地区为例
在埃塞俄比亚,农业是最重要的部门;经济的基石;这是超过85%的埃塞俄比亚人的生计来源;贡献了该国近50%的国内生产总值(GDP)增长。然而,该部门的生产业绩在很大程度上取决于季节性气候特征的良好意愿,因为它长期结合了以雨养为基础的农业系统。因此,本研究旨在利用17个气象站31年的降水和温度观测时间序列数据,调查埃塞俄比亚东北部一个地区的气候特征。采用降水距平指数和变异系数统计方法,利用Mann-Kendall趋势检验方法研究了近31 a来该区降水和气温的变化趋势。结果表明,降雨和温度在不同的地点和时间有不同的变化。该地区年平均降雨量为531毫米;西部、中部和东北部的部分地区;北沃罗东南地区降雨量为100毫米至100毫米。在降雨分布方面,该地区一年有两次降雨;6月至9月(冬季)和2月中旬至5月中旬(比利时)。在这方面,与主要生长季节相比,belg期间的降雨非常不稳定。广域分析表明:季节发生变化;在不同的地点观察到停止和生长季节长度。根据研究,估计7月4日(DOY=166)和10月4日(DOY=278)分别为季节开始和结束的平均日期。此外,分析显示,一般来说,季节开始的时间为6月15日(在拉利贝拉)至7月16日(在特库利希);生长季节结束从9月21日(Zobil)到10月15日(Sirinka)不等。总的来说,调查年度和季节气候特征;特别是生长季节的开始、停止和长度的特点:有助于采取适合当地气候潜力的可管理的耕作方法。事实上,气候信息对季前、季中和季后农业活动的季节性农业活动管理有着巨大的影响。
本文章由计算机程序翻译,如有差异,请以英文原文为准。
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