Labor Demand and Export-Oriented Industrialization of Bangladesh

Taharima Sultana
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引用次数: 1

Abstract

This thesis based on the findings of a study on labor demand and export-oriented industrialization in Bangladesh at the time of 1992-93 to 2016-17. For this persistence, secondary data from different sources (BBS, WDI, EPB, BER, WB, BB, etc) for the time duration 1992-2017 has been composed and analyzed through econometric tools. The test approves that the disturbance terms are normally distributed. To detect that the data suffer from multicollinearity, heteroscedasticity, and autocorrelation problem, the diagnostic test has been adopted. From the diagnostic test, it is detected that while the data were free from heteroscedasticity and autocorrelation problems, however, the data suffer from severe multicollinearity problem. The multi-collinearity problem is removed using remedial measures. The Unit root test has been detected to test the stationarity of the composed data. Among different unit root test, ADF-test is adopted. The test displays that the data are stationary at the first difference level for export-oriented industrialization and the second difference level for labor demand. The Johansen co-integration test is adapted to test whether the data are cointegrated at any level. The test results approve that six variables are cointegrated on labor demand and one variable cointegrated on export-oriented industrialization. The Granger causality test under VAR (Vector Autoregressive Regression) framework displays the variable has a unidirectional causal relationship with the dependent variable where all independent variables lead, and the dependent variable follows. However, these relationships have found a statistically significant positive impact of labor demand and export-oriented industrialization in Bangladesh. Thus, there is a dynamic relationship between domestic labor demand, export, and economic progress in Bangladesh.
劳动力需求与孟加拉国出口导向型工业化
本文基于对1992-93年至2016-17年期间孟加拉国劳动力需求与出口导向型工业化的研究结果。为了这种持续性,我们通过计量经济工具对1992-2017年期间不同来源(BBS、WDI、EPB、BER、WB、BB等)的二手数据进行了组合和分析。试验证明扰动项是正态分布的。为了检测数据是否存在多重共线性、异方差和自相关问题,采用了诊断检验。从诊断检验中发现,虽然数据不存在异方差和自相关问题,但数据存在严重的多重共线性问题。采用补救措施消除了多重共线性问题。采用单位根检验来检验组合数据的平稳性。在不同的单位根检验中,采用adf检验。检验表明,出口导向型工业化在第一差异水平上数据是平稳的,劳动力需求在第二差异水平上数据是平稳的。约翰森协整检验适用于检验数据在任何水平上是否协整。检验结果表明,6个变量对劳动力需求协整,1个变量对出口导向型工业化协整。在VAR (Vector Autoregressive Regression,向量自回归)框架下的Granger因果关系检验表明,变量与因变量呈单向因果关系,所有自变量领头,因变量跟随。然而,这些关系发现孟加拉国的劳动力需求和出口导向型工业化具有统计学上显著的正影响。因此,孟加拉国国内劳动力需求、出口和经济发展之间存在动态关系。
本文章由计算机程序翻译,如有差异,请以英文原文为准。
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