Blurred Bottom lines of Ethiopian Political Crisis from 20011 to 2020

Jemal Adem
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Abstract

Ethiopia has been hosting political crisis since 2011. While the dominant and official narratives emphasis on ethnicity as a sole factor to explain contemporary Ethiopian politics in general and the ongoing political crisis in particular, this paper argues that ethnic and religious determinants are deeply intertwined in Ethiopian political and conflictual dynamism. The current political transformation and related political violence and the country’s upcoming future can only better explained by interplay of ethno and religious factors at local, regional and international levels. Despite the masking role of ethnicity over religious motives at least in official term, there is a tendency of developments in which the latter overwhelms the former which will expose the country for external manipulation and destabilization. The grievances that provoke ethno-religious tensions have most often demonstrated through ethnic unrests, bitter political dissidents often stoked by political elites, direct and indirect foreign actor’s involvement, social media activities and violent incidents.  In view of the current events unfolding in the country, the paper argued that ethnic factors alone cannot explain Ethiopia’s political crisis, but ethno-religious mingles. The arguments in this paper are supported by both secondary and primary sources and with consideration of the violent incidents and their implications in multicultural contexts of Ethiopian Society. Keywords: Ethno-religious, political crisis, Ethiopia DOI : 10.7176/IAGS/79-03 Publication date: January 31 st 2020
2011年至2020年埃塞俄比亚政治危机的模糊底线
自2011年以来,埃塞俄比亚一直处于政治危机之中。虽然主流和官方叙事强调种族是解释当代埃塞俄比亚政治的唯一因素,特别是持续的政治危机,但本文认为,种族和宗教决定因素在埃塞俄比亚的政治和冲突动力中深深交织在一起。当前的政治转型和相关的政治暴力以及国家即将到来的未来只能通过民族和宗教因素在地方、区域和国际层面的相互作用来更好地解释。尽管种族对宗教动机起着掩盖作用,至少在官方用语中是如此,但目前的发展趋势是后者压倒前者,这将使该国容易受到外来操纵和破坏稳定。引发民族-宗教紧张关系的不满情绪,最常见的表现形式是民族骚乱、政治精英煽动的激烈政治异见人士、外国行动者的直接或间接参与、社交媒体活动和暴力事件。鉴于当前发生在该国的事件,本文认为,单一的民族因素不能解释埃塞俄比亚的政治危机,而是民族与宗教的混合。本文中的论点得到了二手和一手资料的支持,并考虑到暴力事件及其在埃塞俄比亚社会多元文化背景下的影响。关键词:民族宗教,政治危机,埃塞俄比亚DOI: 10.7176/IAGS/79-03出版日期:2020年1月31日
本文章由计算机程序翻译,如有差异,请以英文原文为准。
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