Duterte and Alliance Behavior of the Philippines

Taylor Alexis Rodier
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Abstract

Many have defined the Philippines' dominant alliance behavior to be hedging; that is, an alignment choice adapted to address the security challenges often faced by small and middle powers in relation to major powers. Hedging should be understood as a strategy to manage the security risks that small and middle powers face, whereas balancing and bandwagoning are security strategies created in response to security threats. This paper argues that before President Duterte's election in 2016, it could be argued that the Philippines was engaging in hedging or low intensity balancing between the U.S. and China. However, Philippine foreign policy underwent a swift about-face as a result of Duterte's objectives, and as a result the country began bandwagoning with China.
杜特尔特与菲律宾的同盟行为
许多人将菲律宾主导联盟的行为定义为对冲;也就是说,这是一种适应于解决中小大国在与大国关系中经常面临的安全挑战的结盟选择。对冲应该被理解为管理中小大国面临的安全风险的策略,而平衡和随大流是应对安全威胁的安全策略。本文认为,在2016年杜特尔特总统当选之前,可以认为菲律宾在中美之间进行对冲或低强度平衡。然而,由于杜特尔特的目标,菲律宾的外交政策发生了迅速的转变,因此该国开始与中国为伍。
本文章由计算机程序翻译,如有差异,请以英文原文为准。
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