Effect of localization on the sustainable development in Iran's car industry

Babak Barazandeh, Mohammadhussein Rafieisakhaei
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引用次数: 11

Abstract

Iran's economy has always been under severe sanctions. These sanctions were almost tolerable for Iran since they did not affect Iran's oil industry which is the main source of foreign currency for the country. The recent sanctions on Iran's oil-dependent economy starting from 2012, put a lot of pressure on the country and the overall country experienced very volatile conditions. As the result, the government started to negotiate with the world that led to the agreement between P5+1 and Iran that is generally referred to as the Joint Comprehensive Plan of Action (JCPOA). Although this agreement released some of the pressures on Iran's economy, Iran's experience during the sanction period and the time that the oil price was low, convinced the government to start investing on localization of the industry. The term localization here refers to the activities that try to produce needed materials of the industry inside the country instead of importing them. The government's attempt in the past years for localization especially in the car industry, caused a sustainable development in this area. This sustainability was shown in the recent drop off of the oil price in 2016 which did not affect the car market like the past similar events. In this paper, we will try to model the effective parameters in Iran's car industry including the localization and also propose a model relating localization, car industry and sustainability to describe the effect of localization on creating a sustainable development in the car industry.
国产化对伊朗汽车工业可持续发展的影响
伊朗经济一直受到严厉制裁。这些制裁对伊朗来说几乎是可以容忍的,因为它们没有影响到伊朗的石油工业,而石油工业是伊朗外汇的主要来源。从2012年开始,对伊朗依赖石油的经济实施制裁,给该国带来了很大的压力,整个国家都经历了非常不稳定的状况。因此,政府开始与世界各国进行谈判,最终达成了P5+1与伊朗之间的协议,即通常所说的联合全面行动计划(JCPOA)。尽管该协议减轻了伊朗经济的一些压力,但伊朗在制裁期间的经历和油价较低的时期,说服了政府开始投资于该行业的本地化。本地化在这里指的是试图在国内生产行业所需材料而不是进口材料的活动。政府在过去几年中对国产化的尝试,特别是在汽车行业,导致了这一领域的可持续发展。2016年油价下跌并没有像过去的类似事件那样影响到汽车市场,这表明了这种可持续性。在本文中,我们将尝试对包括本地化在内的伊朗汽车行业的有效参数进行建模,并提出一个关于本地化、汽车行业和可持续性的模型,以描述本地化对汽车行业可持续发展的影响。
本文章由计算机程序翻译,如有差异,请以英文原文为准。
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