Trading Range Breakout Test on Daily Stocks of Indian Markets

Uttam B Sapate
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Abstract

In the financial literature Efficient Market Hypothesis (EMH) has been one of the dominant topics. An implication of weak-form of efficiency/random walk is that the trading rules will not generate economic profits. The purpose of this study is to analyze results of application of trading range breakout (TRB) test on daily stock prices of Indian Markets, thus investigating its efficiency at the weak form level (Fama,1970). The results from the trading rule tests indicated that the technical trading rules do not yield statistically significant forecasting power. It means that forecasting of returns based on trading rules cannot be employed to earn abnormal returns.
印度市场每日股票交易区间突破测试
在金融文献中,有效市场假说(EMH)一直是主导话题之一。弱形式效率/随机游走的一个含义是,交易规则不会产生经济利润。本研究的目的是分析交易区间突破(TRB)检验在印度市场每日股票价格上的应用结果,从而研究其在弱形式水平上的效率(Fama,1970)。交易规则检验结果表明,技术交易规则的预测能力不具有统计学意义。这意味着不能利用基于交易规则的收益预测来赚取异常收益。
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