Solving the Maximum Exploitable Potential of Channel Bearing Capacity by Improved GA-BP Algorithm

H. Hou, Yanyi Chen, Jin-fen Zhang, Wan Wang
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Abstract

The existing researches mainly focus on the stable navigation depth estimation or scheme comparison, lacking of methods for predicting the capacity of waterways, methods. The prediction has problems such as the inability to consider various uncertain factors that affect the capacity of the channel, excessive subjective factors and the cumbersome prediction process. An improved GA-BP algorithm is proposed to predict the maximum exploitable potential of the channel capacity. On the basis of the traditional GA-BP algorithm, two edge successive correction algorithms are introduced to initially optimize the predictive network model weights and thresholds. Introducing improved cross mutation operator to improve population diversity and effectively expand the range of solution search. Finally, the test samples verify the rationality of the optimized network model. Compare with GA-BP algorithm and BP neural network, the results reflect that the proposed GA-BP algorithm can comprehensively reflect various uncertainties of the channel capacity and reduce the influence of subjective factors on the prediction results. The algorithm can effectively predict the maximum development potential of the channel capacity, and is more effective than traditional prediction algorithms.
用改进GA-BP算法求解航道承载力的最大可开发潜力
现有的研究主要集中在稳定航行深度估计或方案比较上,缺乏对航道容量的预测方法。预测存在无法考虑影响信道容量的各种不确定因素、主观因素过多、预测过程繁琐等问题。提出了一种改进的GA-BP算法来预测信道容量的最大可利用潜力。在传统GA-BP算法的基础上,引入两种边缘逐次校正算法,对预测网络模型权值和阈值进行初步优化。引入改进的交叉变异算子,提高种群多样性,有效扩大了解的搜索范围。最后通过实例验证了优化后的网络模型的合理性。与GA-BP算法和BP神经网络的比较结果表明,本文提出的GA-BP算法能够综合反映信道容量的各种不确定性,减少主观因素对预测结果的影响。该算法能有效预测信道容量的最大发展潜力,比传统的预测算法更有效。
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