Climate Change and Animal Movement Integration in the Environmental Niche Model

H. E. Kislioglu, I. Vera, Giacomo Di Lallo, Riki Hissink
{"title":"Climate Change and Animal Movement Integration in the Environmental Niche Model","authors":"H. E. Kislioglu, I. Vera, Giacomo Di Lallo, Riki Hissink","doi":"10.52924/rhar2064","DOIUrl":null,"url":null,"abstract":"Changing precipitation and temperature patterns due to climate change, shift ecological niches which pose a challenge for species. Furthermore, it is still unclear that if climate change faster than the speed of the species to move to more suitable environments. Climate Envelope models (GEMs) are used extensively in this matter to predict species geographical distribution. In this study, climate data and animal movement strategies integrated into the environmental niche model to analyze the successes of the species that have different movement strategies under the changing climate conditions. Four different movement strategies are formulized; lazy knowledge strategy (LKS), lazy no knowledge strategy (LNKS), proactive knowledge (PKS) and proactive no knowledge strategy (PNKS). In this study, mean annual temperature and annual precipitation data gathered for the RCP8.5 scenario from the HadGEM2-ES GCM model at a 10-minute resolution. Results show that the PKS has the highest survival rates which makes it the most successful strategy. Furthermore, the species with knowledge had performed higher survival rates than the species without knowledge due to their skill to find the most suitable cells around them. One-Way Anova test confirmed that there are significant differences between the strategies. Moreover, the analysis suggests that the species with knowledge of their environment have the most successful strategies for facing the climate change.","PeriodicalId":262431,"journal":{"name":"Energy Environment and Storage","volume":"35 1","pages":"0"},"PeriodicalIF":0.0000,"publicationDate":"2023-01-26","publicationTypes":"Journal Article","fieldsOfStudy":null,"isOpenAccess":false,"openAccessPdf":"","citationCount":"0","resultStr":null,"platform":"Semanticscholar","paperid":null,"PeriodicalName":"Energy Environment and Storage","FirstCategoryId":"1085","ListUrlMain":"https://doi.org/10.52924/rhar2064","RegionNum":0,"RegionCategory":null,"ArticlePicture":[],"TitleCN":null,"AbstractTextCN":null,"PMCID":null,"EPubDate":"","PubModel":"","JCR":"","JCRName":"","Score":null,"Total":0}
引用次数: 0

Abstract

Changing precipitation and temperature patterns due to climate change, shift ecological niches which pose a challenge for species. Furthermore, it is still unclear that if climate change faster than the speed of the species to move to more suitable environments. Climate Envelope models (GEMs) are used extensively in this matter to predict species geographical distribution. In this study, climate data and animal movement strategies integrated into the environmental niche model to analyze the successes of the species that have different movement strategies under the changing climate conditions. Four different movement strategies are formulized; lazy knowledge strategy (LKS), lazy no knowledge strategy (LNKS), proactive knowledge (PKS) and proactive no knowledge strategy (PNKS). In this study, mean annual temperature and annual precipitation data gathered for the RCP8.5 scenario from the HadGEM2-ES GCM model at a 10-minute resolution. Results show that the PKS has the highest survival rates which makes it the most successful strategy. Furthermore, the species with knowledge had performed higher survival rates than the species without knowledge due to their skill to find the most suitable cells around them. One-Way Anova test confirmed that there are significant differences between the strategies. Moreover, the analysis suggests that the species with knowledge of their environment have the most successful strategies for facing the climate change.
环境生态位模型中气候变化与动物运动的整合
气候变化引起的降水和温度模式的变化,改变了生态位,给物种带来了挑战。此外,尚不清楚气候变化是否比物种迁移到更适宜环境的速度更快。气候包络模型(GEMs)被广泛用于预测物种的地理分布。本研究将气候数据和动物迁移策略整合到环境生态位模型中,分析不同迁移策略的物种在气候变化条件下的成功情况。制定了四种不同的运动策略;惰性知识策略(LKS)、惰性无知识策略(LNKS)、主动知识策略(PKS)和主动无知识策略(PNKS)。本研究利用HadGEM2-ES GCM模式收集的RCP8.5情景10分钟分辨率的年平均温度和年降水数据。结果表明,PKS具有最高的存活率,使其成为最成功的策略。此外,有知识的物种比没有知识的物种表现出更高的存活率,因为他们有能力找到周围最合适的细胞。单因素方差分析证实了策略之间存在显著差异。此外,分析表明,了解环境的物种有最成功的应对气候变化的策略。
本文章由计算机程序翻译,如有差异,请以英文原文为准。
求助全文
约1分钟内获得全文 求助全文
来源期刊
自引率
0.00%
发文量
0
×
引用
GB/T 7714-2015
复制
MLA
复制
APA
复制
导出至
BibTeX EndNote RefMan NoteFirst NoteExpress
×
提示
您的信息不完整,为了账户安全,请先补充。
现在去补充
×
提示
您因"违规操作"
具体请查看互助需知
我知道了
×
提示
确定
请完成安全验证×
copy
已复制链接
快去分享给好友吧!
我知道了
右上角分享
点击右上角分享
0
联系我们:info@booksci.cn Book学术提供免费学术资源搜索服务,方便国内外学者检索中英文文献。致力于提供最便捷和优质的服务体验。 Copyright © 2023 布克学术 All rights reserved.
京ICP备2023020795号-1
ghs 京公网安备 11010802042870号
Book学术文献互助
Book学术文献互助群
群 号:604180095
Book学术官方微信