Private Information and Business Cycle Risk Sharing

A. Duncan
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Abstract

When individuals have private information about their own luck and in- come, the sharing of idiosyncratic risks is hampered by moral hazard. This friction also affects the optimal sharing of business cycle risks. Optimal allocations restrict the exposure of low wealth agents’ consumption to business cycle risk. This encourages truth-telling by high wealth agents who have a high tolerance for business cycle risk, thereby increasing the extent to which idiosyncratic risks can be shared. Implementation of these optimal allocations requires restrictions in the trade of securities contingent on business cycle outcomes.
私人信息与商业周期风险分担
当个人拥有关于自己运气和收入的私人信息时,特殊风险的分担就会受到道德风险的阻碍。这种摩擦也影响了经济周期风险的最佳分担。最优配置限制了低财富代理人的消费对经济周期风险的暴露。这鼓励了对商业周期风险具有高度容忍度的高财富经纪人说实话,从而增加了特殊风险的分担程度。要实现这些最优配置,就需要根据商业周期的结果对证券交易进行限制。
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