Empirical Study on the Relationship Among Urbanization, Economic Growth and Carbon Emissions

Wei Zhang, T. Shen, Shiqiang Zhang
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引用次数: 0

Abstract

The article comprehensively considers the relationship between urbanization, economic growth and carbon emissions, select annual data on urbanization, economic growth and carbon emissions from 1978 to 2016 to do an empirical analysis of the two-way dynamic relationship between urbanization, economic growth, and carbon emissions by using the vector autoregressive (VAR) model through impulse response, analysis of variance, and Granger causality test. The results show that there is a long-term equilibrium relationship between urbanization and economic growth and carbon emissions; Urbanization is a one-way Granger cause of carbon emissions; There is a two-way Granger causal relationship between urbanization and economic growth, and urbanization has a positive effect on economic growth in the long run; Economic growth is a one-way Granger cause of carbon emissions.
城市化、经济增长与碳排放关系的实证研究
本文综合考虑城镇化、经济增长和碳排放三者之间的关系,选取1978 - 2016年中国城镇化、经济增长和碳排放的年度数据,通过脉冲响应、方差分析和格兰杰因果检验,采用向量自回归(VAR)模型对城镇化、经济增长和碳排放三者之间的双向动态关系进行实证分析。结果表明:城市化与经济增长和碳排放之间存在长期均衡关系;城市化是碳排放的单向格兰杰原因;城镇化与经济增长存在双向格兰杰因果关系,城镇化对经济增长具有长期正向影响;经济增长是碳排放的单向格兰杰原因。
本文章由计算机程序翻译,如有差异,请以英文原文为准。
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