Investment value assessment model of the National Critical Technology based on independent innovation

Weidong Guo
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Abstract

With deepening of international competitions of science and technology, China wakes up to the importance of National Critical Technology in economic development, social progress and national defense security, and regards independent innovation capability of National Critical Technology as the core of national competitiveness. Therefore, China's urgent tasks is to research and develop national critical technologies based on independent innovation. This paper adopts real option method, sequential investment decisions theory and NPV method to create the investment value assessment model of independent innovative national critical technology based on income approach, and conducts some tentative researches on the theory and method of the independent innovation model.
基于自主创新的国家关键技术投资价值评估模型
随着国际科技竞争的深入,中国认识到国家关键技术对经济发展、社会进步和国防安全的重要性,并将国家关键技术自主创新能力视为国家竞争力的核心。因此,研究和开发基于自主创新的国家关键技术是中国的紧迫任务。本文采用实物期权法、序列投资决策理论和净现值法,建立了基于收益法的自主创新国家关键技术投资价值评估模型,并对自主创新模型的理论和方法进行了尝试性研究。
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