Aircraft Trajectory Prediction Model Based on Improved GRU Structure

Zexuan Chen, Lan Wang
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Abstract

In view of the actual need to predict aircraft trajectory, traditional prediction models often have problems such as insufficient precision and slow training efficiency. By analyzing the target trajectory with temporal characteristics, the Elastic-BiGRU trajectory prediction model is proposed, which combines the Smooth filtering method, the Elastic Network fitting method and the GRU structure, the prediction accuracy of aircraft trajectory is further improved. The experimental results show that the Elastic-BiGRU model compared with Bi-LSTM model and Bi-GRU model, its MSE error is relatively reduced by more than 8% and 11%The Elastic-BiGRU also solves the problem of slow training speed of Bi-LSTM model, and saves about 20% of the time.
基于改进GRU结构的飞机轨迹预测模型
针对飞机轨迹预测的实际需要,传统的预测模型往往存在精度不足、训练效率慢等问题。通过分析具有时间特征的目标弹道,提出了结合平滑滤波方法、弹性网络拟合方法和GRU结构的Elastic- bigru弹道预测模型,进一步提高了飞机弹道的预测精度。实验结果表明,与Bi-LSTM模型和Bi-GRU模型相比,Elastic-BiGRU模型的MSE误差相对减小了8%和11%以上,同时也解决了Bi-LSTM模型训练速度慢的问题,节省了约20%的时间。
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