Research on Power Load Forecasting Based on PSO-LSTM

Zhicheng Yu, H. Sun, Bining Zhang
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Abstract

In order to improve the prediction accuracy of electricity consumption, the particle swarm optimization algorithm was proposed to find the optimal hyperparameters of long-term and short-term memory (LSTM) neural networks, and the two models are combined to form a power load forecasting model. Aiming at the problem that it is difficult to manually select the LSTM hyperparameters, the PSO algorithm can effectively find the global optimal solution to find the hyperparameters of LSTM model. After continuous training, we find the appropriate hyperparameters and verify them The experimental results show that compared with the traditional LSTM network, the performance and prediction accuracy of the combined pso-lstm combination model have been significantly improved, which has certain academic value and application significance.
基于PSO-LSTM的电力负荷预测研究
为了提高电力消费预测精度,提出了粒子群优化算法寻找长短期记忆(LSTM)神经网络的最优超参数,并将两者结合形成电力负荷预测模型。针对人工选择LSTM超参数困难的问题,粒子群算法可以有效地找到LSTM模型超参数的全局最优解。实验结果表明,与传统LSTM网络相比,组合后的pso-lstm组合模型的性能和预测精度都有了明显提高,具有一定的学术价值和应用意义。
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