PREDIKSI KESEHATAN MASYARAKAT INDONESIA MENGGUNAKAN RECURENT NEURAL NETWORK

Amril Mutoi Siregar, Jajam Haerul Jaman, Abdul Mufti
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Abstract

Health is very important for all human beings, especially in Indonesia, because human health can do activities properly and have high performance for both work and other social life. The task of predicting the future values of a time series is a problem that applications have in areas such as sales, engineering, epidemiology, etc. Much research effort has been made in the development of predictive models and performance improvement. The level of public health in Indonesia from 1995 to 2018 varied with the percentage of the population who experienced health complaints. The purpose of this study is to predict the future health of the Indonesian public so that it can be used as a tool to determine government policies in the health sector. The method used in predicting is the Recurent Neural Network (RNN) with secondary data sourced from the Central Statistics Agency (BPS) in the form of data sets, and dividing the data sets into training data and test data. Before the data is used as training data, we clean and tidy up the data first so that when it is implemented there are no errors either during training or testing. The results showed that at the beginning of the method RNN, the prediction results were far from the data, after an interval of 7 and above the predicted results were actually the same. Based on Figures 5 and 6, it can be said that the RNN method is very good for the prediction method.
印尼公共卫生预测使用神经网络RECURENT
健康对所有人都非常重要,特别是在印度尼西亚,因为人的健康可以正确地进行活动,并且在工作和其他社会生活中都有良好的表现。预测时间序列的未来值的任务是销售、工程、流行病学等领域的应用程序所面临的问题。在预测模型的开发和性能改进方面已经做了大量的研究工作。1995年至2018年,印度尼西亚的公共卫生水平随着经历健康投诉的人口比例而变化。这项研究的目的是预测印度尼西亚公众未来的健康状况,以便将其用作确定政府卫生部门政策的工具。预测使用的方法是递归神经网络(RNN),其辅助数据以数据集的形式来源于中央统计局(BPS),并将数据集分为训练数据和测试数据。在将数据用作训练数据之前,我们首先对数据进行清理和整理,以便在实现时无论是训练还是测试都不会出现错误。结果表明,在方法RNN开始时,预测结果与数据相差甚远,经过7及以上的间隔后,预测结果实际上是相同的。从图5和图6可以看出,RNN方法对于预测方法来说是非常好的。
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