Building on success-lessons learned (expert systems)

R. Crittenden
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Abstract

The author examines a case study of a beginning expert systems program at a large regional life insurance company, a program that began with excellent success, but has not been able to follow up on that success. Through examination of this case, the author points out lessons that can be learned from this experience, and suggests means of preventing this type of failure in other beginning-expert-systems programs. The first lesson learned is that there must be strong and consistent messages to management that the major benefits of the technology will be missed if the primary purpose of an expert-systems program is seen as short-term cost reduction. Secondly, there must be strong and consistent messages to management that education of middle managers is essential to the success of the program. Third for long-term success of the technology, there must be a plan for the development of critical mass in the organization. In many organizations, the best way to achieve critical mass is through the utilization of the experts themselves as end-user developers.<>
以成功经验为基础(专家系统)
作者考察了一个大型区域人寿保险公司开始的专家系统项目的案例研究,该项目开始时取得了巨大的成功,但未能继续取得成功。通过对这一案例的分析,作者指出了可以从这一经验中吸取的教训,并提出了其他初学者专家系统程序中防止此类故障的方法。学到的第一个教训是,必须向管理层发出强烈而一致的信息,即如果专家系统项目的主要目的被视为短期成本降低,那么该技术的主要好处将被错过。其次,必须向管理层发出强烈而一致的信息,即中层管理人员的教育对项目的成功至关重要。第三,为了技术的长期成功,必须有一个在组织中发展临界质量的计划。在许多组织中,实现临界质量的最佳方法是利用专家本身作为最终用户开发人员。
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