Opening black box Data Mining models using Sensitivity Analysis

P. Cortez, M. Embrechts
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引用次数: 99

Abstract

There are several supervised learning Data Mining (DM) methods, such as Neural Networks (NN), Support Vector Machines (SVM) and ensembles, that often attain high quality predictions, although the obtained models are difficult to interpret by humans. In this paper, we open these black box DM models by using a novel visualization approach that is based on a Sensitivity Analysis (SA) method. In particular, we propose a Global SA (GSA), which extends the applicability of previous SA methods (e.g. to classification tasks), and several visualization techniques (e.g. variable effect characteristic curve), for assessing input relevance and effects on the model's responses. We show the GSA capabilities by conducting several experiments, using a NN ensemble and SVM model, in both synthetic and real-world datasets.
利用敏感性分析打开黑匣子数据挖掘模型
有几种监督学习数据挖掘(DM)方法,如神经网络(NN),支持向量机(SVM)和集成,通常可以获得高质量的预测,尽管获得的模型很难被人类解释。在本文中,我们使用一种新的基于灵敏度分析(SA)方法的可视化方法打开这些黑盒DM模型。特别地,我们提出了一个全局情景分析(GSA),它扩展了以前情景分析方法的适用性(例如分类任务),以及几种可视化技术(例如可变效果特征曲线),用于评估输入相关性和对模型响应的影响。我们通过在合成和真实数据集中使用NN集成和SVM模型进行几个实验来展示GSA的能力。
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