Alternative Pricing and Delivery Strategies for Alberta Cattle Feeders

F. Novak, Bruce Viney
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引用次数: 5

Abstract

This study evaluates the risk and returns to cattle feeding in Alberta from the application of alternative marketing and pricing strategies. Feedlot finishing of 650 pound calves and 800 pound yearlings is modeled over the years from 1980 to 1993. The results of the study are based on the domestic and US marketing of live cattle using traditional cash marketing, futures contracts, put options, and forward production contracting systems. Use of the Western Domestic Feed Barley contract is also simulated. The results showed that barley price changes produced relatively small return changes compared to feeder and fat cattle price changes. An important source of return risk was found to be basis risk. Production contracting strategies which eliminated basis risk were found to provide the best returns in a market based risk-return comparison. The use of put options did not add value to cattle feeding investments.
艾伯塔省养牛者的替代定价和交付策略
本研究评估的风险和回报,牛饲养在艾伯塔省从应用替代营销和定价策略。从1980年到1993年,模拟了650磅犊牛和800磅犊牛的育肥过程。研究结果基于国内和美国使用传统现金营销、期货合约、看跌期权和远期生产合同系统的活牛营销。还模拟了西方国内饲料大麦合同的使用情况。结果表明,大麦价格变化与饲牛和肥牛价格变化相比,产生的收益变化相对较小。发现收益风险的一个重要来源是基差风险。在基于市场的风险收益比较中,发现消除基差风险的生产承包策略提供最佳收益。看跌期权的使用并没有给养牛投资增加价值。
本文章由计算机程序翻译,如有差异,请以英文原文为准。
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