Bayesian Methods for the Identification of Distribution Networks

Abstract

The increasing integration of intermittent renewable generation, especially at the distribution level, necessitates advanced planning and optimisation methodologies contingent on the knowledge of the admittance matrix, capturing the topology and line parameters of an electric network. However, a reliable estimate of the admittance matrix may either be missing or quickly become obsolete for temporally varying grids. In this work, we propose a data-driven identification method utilising voltage and current measurements collected from micro-PMUs. More precisely, we first present a maximum likelihood approach and then move towards a Bayesian framework, leveraging the principles of maximum a posteriori estimation. In contrast with most existing contributions, our approach not only factors in measurement noise on both voltage and current data, but is also capable of exploiting available a priori information such as sparsity patterns and known line admittances. Simulations conducted on benchmark cases demonstrate that, compared to other algorithms, our method can achieve greater accuracy.