Civilian Coup Advocacy

D. Kinney
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引用次数: 3

Abstract

Available scholarship on civil–military relations, and coup politics in particular, tends to treat military coups d’état as originating purely within the minds of military officers; that is, the overwhelming bulk of scholarship assumes that the idea to seize power stems from officer cliques. To the extent that societal factors (e.g., polarization, economic decline, party factionalism) explain coups, they merely account for why officers decide to seize power. Most research that discusses civilian support for coups does so within single case studies—almost entirely drawn from the Middle East and North Africa. Building on a vibrant wave of studies that disaggregates civil–military institutions, a small body of recent research has begun to systematically and comprehensively consider the theoretical and empirical importance of civilian involvement in military coups. This perspective deemphasizes the military’s possession of weapons and instead focuses on ideational sources of power. Civilians have more power and resources to offer military plotters than existing scholarship has given them credit for. Civilian elites and publics can legitimate coups, organize them, manipulate information on behalf of the plotters, and finance coups for their own economic interests. In short, to fully understand coups, one must seek as much knowledge as possible about their formation, including where the idea for each plot originated. Such detailed analysis of coup plots will give researchers a clearer picture about the motivating factors behind coups.
平民政变倡导
关于军民关系,特别是政变政治的现有学术研究倾向于将军事政变视为纯粹源自军官的思想;也就是说,绝大多数学者认为,夺取权力的想法源于军官集团。从某种程度上说,社会因素(如两极分化、经济衰退、党派之争)可以解释政变,但它们仅仅解释了为什么官员决定夺取权力。大多数讨论平民支持政变的研究都是在单一案例研究中进行的——几乎全部来自中东和北非。在一波活跃的研究浪潮的基础上,一小部分最近的研究已经开始系统和全面地考虑平民参与军事政变的理论和实证重要性。这种观点不强调军队拥有武器,而是侧重于权力的概念来源。平民有更多的权力和资源来提供军事阴谋者,而不是现有的奖学金给他们的。平民精英和公众可以使政变合法化,组织政变,代表策划者操纵信息,并为自己的经济利益资助政变。简而言之,为了充分理解政变,我们必须尽可能多地了解政变的形成过程,包括每一次政变的想法来自哪里。这种对政变情节的详细分析将使研究人员更清楚地了解政变背后的激励因素。
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