Study on covert networks of terrorists based on interactive relationship hypothesis

Duo-Yong Sun, Shu-Quan Guo, Ben-xian Li, Xiao-Peng Liu
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引用次数: 1

Abstract

Rapid development of social network theory provides new perspective for the study of behavior of terrorist organizations. Due to the covertness of terrorist activities, the absence of individuals and relationships often occurs in the construction of interpersonal relationship network of terrorists using social network theory, thus affecting the effectiveness of analysis. This paper proposes a method for constructing covert terrorist networks based on interactive relationship records and combining hypothesis and inference, and carries out empirical study combining typical terrorist activities within the borders. Study results show that key figures and missing figures obtained according to analysis and evaluation of constructed networks are consistent with reality. This shows that the combination of hypothesis and inference and interpersonal relationship records is a feasible way to improve the construction of terrorist social network model.
基于互动关系假设的恐怖分子隐蔽网络研究
社会网络理论的快速发展为恐怖组织行为的研究提供了新的视角。由于恐怖活动的隐蔽性,在运用社会网络理论构建恐怖分子人际关系网络时,往往会出现个体和关系的缺失,从而影响分析的有效性。本文提出了一种基于交互关系记录、假设与推理相结合的隐蔽恐怖网络构建方法,并结合境内典型恐怖活动进行了实证研究。研究结果表明,通过对构建的网络进行分析和评价得到的关键数据和缺失数据与实际情况一致。这说明假设推理与人际关系记录相结合是完善恐怖分子社会网络模型构建的可行途径。
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