As If

Grayson Richards
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Abstract

Regardless of any human pretense to foresight or omniscience, we are stuck with thereality that for now the future is, and remains, an open-ended question. In pursuing theissue of humankind’s preoccupation with its mastery and the ensuing contests over itscharacter, this essay begins with a tracing of future-oriented thinking’s development and thevarious manners of foresight which result, considering the future’s indeterminacy in light ofthe fundamental human impulse to plan around its projected, imaginary image. It will brieflychart the evolution of foresight as a means by which humans plan for—and in effectcreate—their futures. From early conceptions of the not-yet as a phenomena observable inthe rhythms and patterns of nature, to the later methodological rigours of modern foresightpractice, it centres the foundational concept of the ‘image of the future’ (as what is “seen” byforesight) and it’s mythopoetic function in bringing the future under a measure of humancontrol, providing placeholder knowledge and the certainty necessary to the carrying out ofactions calculated to either increase or decrease the likelihood of any particular imagesactualization. Foresight is presented as a defining characteristic of modern capitalistdynamics, operating in its most common institutional form as a means for extending thereach of presently powerful political and economic actors into the future, generating thefictional expectations that underlie the complimentary practices of speculative investmentand risk securitization. Following this, the essay turns to alternative formations which queer futurityand foresight, productively exploiting the fact that the images generated by foresight andspeculation, regardless of the power of their authors, are necessarily fictional. Relishing in(rather than retreating from) the future’s indeterminacy, queer futures proliferate possibility,disrupt reproduction, and instrumentalize desire in the performance of emancipatory futuresthrough their rhetorical and material instantiation in the present. As a counterpoint to thecapitalist and queer future imaginaries discussed, the paper closes on a consideration ofindigenous anti-futurisms which regard the imaginaries at the heart of foresight andpretensions of humankind’s command of the future as necessarily apocalyptic, thereforeincorporating foresight only insofar as it articulates the anticipation of a decline and eventualcollapse of ‘the future’ as such.
好像
无论人类如何假装有远见或无所不知,我们都被现实所困,即未来目前是,而且仍然是一个开放式的问题。为了探讨人类对其掌控的关注以及随之而来的对其性格的争论,本文首先追溯了面向未来的思维的发展以及由此产生的各种预见方式,根据人类围绕其投射的、想象的形象进行规划的基本冲动,考虑了未来的不确定性。它将简要地描述作为人类计划——实际上是创造——未来的一种手段的远见的演变过程。从早期的“尚未”概念,到在自然的节奏和模式中观察到的现象,到后来现代预见实践的方法论严谨,它以“未来的形象”(作为预见“看到”的东西)的基本概念为中心,它的神话功能是将未来置于人类的控制之下。提供占位符知识和执行计算所需的确定性,以增加或减少任何特定图像实现的可能性。先见之明被认为是现代资本主义动态的一个决定性特征,在其最常见的制度形式中,它作为一种手段,将当前强大的政治和经济参与者的理论延伸到未来,产生虚构的预期,从而成为投机投资和风险证券化的互补实践的基础。在此之后,这篇文章转向了另一种形式,将未来和远见混淆起来,富有成效地利用了这样一个事实,即由远见和猜测产生的图像,无论作者的力量如何,都必然是虚构的。享受(而不是逃避)未来的不确定性,酷儿的未来增加了可能性,破坏了繁殖,并通过他们在当下的修辞和物质实例化,在解放未来的表演中将欲望工具化。作为对资本主义和奇怪的未来想象的对比,本文结束了对本土反未来主义的考虑,认为想象是远见的核心,人类对未来的控制是必然的世界末日,因此,只有当它阐明了对“未来”的衰落和最终崩溃的预期时,才会纳入远见。
本文章由计算机程序翻译,如有差异,请以英文原文为准。
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