Impaired Asset Management and the Optimal Timing of Write-Down Decisions

A. Messica, Gali Ingber-Krauthgamer
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Abstract

Asset write-down refers to a reduction of an impaired asset’s value on a firm’s balance sheet. Impaired asset management has attracted much attention since the 2008 credit crunch crisis with respect to regulation, corporate and managerial ethics, capital market response and more. The common approach in past studies of write-downs based the decision-making process on agency-related reasoning. This paper presents a quantitative financial analysis of the optimal write-down timing of an impaired asset under different settings as well different managerial attitudes. We applied a conditional time-averaged value of a firm’s stock price to model the manager’s decision-making process and analyzed the optimal timing of write-down with respect to the capital market as well as management’s expectations. Different exogenous settings of the optimal write-down timing such as impairment recovery rate and stock price return were analyzed. Moreover, a rational-type and behavioral type models of managers were also studied. Under most settings, our findings indicate that the common practice among managers, of write-down aversion, is optimal. However, counterintuitively, we found that under specific setting the optimal action is, on the contrary, to write down. Moreover, write-down decision is also dependent on the firm’s stock price daily volatility. Managers of firms having stocks of high price volatility are in a favored position, decision-making wise, in comparison against manager of low volatility stocks.
减值资产管理与减记决策的最佳时机
资产减记是指公司资产负债表上减值资产的价值。自2008年信贷危机以来,受损的资产管理在监管、企业和管理道德、资本市场反应等方面引起了广泛关注。在过去的减记研究中,常见的方法是基于代理相关推理的决策过程。本文对不同环境和不同管理态度下减值资产的最佳减记时机进行了定量财务分析。我们采用公司股票价格的条件时间平均值来模拟管理者的决策过程,并分析了资本市场和管理层预期的减记最佳时机。分析了减值回收率和股票价格回报率等最优减记时机的不同外生设置。此外,本文还研究了管理者的理性型和行为型模型。在大多数情况下,我们的研究结果表明,管理者的普遍做法——厌恶减记——是最优的。然而,与我们的直觉相反的是,我们发现在特定的设定下,最优的行为是写下来。此外,减记决策还取决于公司股价的日波动率。与低波动性股票的经理相比,拥有高价格波动性股票的公司的经理在决策方面处于有利地位。
本文章由计算机程序翻译,如有差异,请以英文原文为准。
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