Applying utility theory in uncertain project environments with multiple goals

M. Safari, M. Bagherpour, John Wang
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Abstract

In project environments, normally, multiple conflicting goals are being incorporated for decision making which associated with uncertain and incomplete information. The main purpose of the project management process is to minimise total project cost and completion time simultaneously; however these affecting factors in project management are conflicting objectives and those have to be efficiently compromised. Going through literature indicated utility theory has not been previously applied in project management environment while deeply incorporated through economics sciences. This study applies the utility theory through solving cost and time trade-off problems in uncertain environments. Here, considering decision maker's (DM) preferences, cost and time utility functions are then determined. Further, the overall utility function has to be optimised. Since the proposed function appropriately assessed, the best decision is being made and maximum satisfaction for DM is reached.
在多目标不确定的项目环境中应用效用理论
在项目环境中,通常情况下,多个相互冲突的目标被纳入决策制定,这些目标与不确定和不完整的信息有关。项目管理过程的主要目的是同时减少项目总成本和完成时间;然而,项目管理中的这些影响因素是相互冲突的目标,必须有效地折衷。通过对文献的梳理发现,效用理论在项目管理环境中并没有得到应用,而是通过经济学的深入融合。本研究运用效用理论解决不确定环境下的成本与时间权衡问题。在这里,考虑决策者的偏好,然后确定成本和时间效用函数。此外,整体效用函数必须得到优化。由于建议的功能得到了适当的评估,因此可以做出最佳决策,并达到DM的最大满意度。
本文章由计算机程序翻译,如有差异,请以英文原文为准。
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