The Users-Demand-Oriented Stochastic Scheduling Method on Seawater Desalination System

Jiapei Yu, Li Xu
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Abstract

In order to protect the water-supply scheme from the predictive error of water consumption, an user-demand oriented stochastic water-supply scheduling method on the seawater desalination system is proposed. Firstly, Classification and Regression Tree is used to estimate the prediction interval of the users’ future demands. Dependent-Chance Programming and Monte Carlo Simulation are used to figure out the probability of the event that the allocated water meets the demands of users. The equilibrium of water-supply is also taken into consideration. In this way, the stochastic model is transformed into the multi-objective optimization problem. Multiple-Population Quantum Genetic Algorithm is employed to acquire the optimal solution. The result of real-world case study validates the effectiveness of the proposed method.
面向用户需求的海水淡化系统随机调度方法
为了使供水方案不受用水量预测误差的影响,提出了一种面向用户需求的海水淡化系统随机供水调度方法。首先,利用分类回归树估计用户未来需求的预测区间。利用相关机会规划和蒙特卡罗模拟计算分配水量满足用户需求事件的概率。供水平衡也被考虑在内。这样,将随机模型转化为多目标优化问题。采用多种群量子遗传算法求解最优解。实际案例研究结果验证了该方法的有效性。
本文章由计算机程序翻译,如有差异,请以英文原文为准。
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