The Fourth Industrial Revolution and its Impact on Railways

E. Sotnikov, K. Shenfeld
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Abstract

The analysis of the stages of development of industrial production by human society based on the well-known concept of four industrial revolutions has resulted in retrospection of technical and technological development of railways during the periods between the industrial revolutions in terms of core rail engineering systems (infrastructure, rolling stock, control and management system), as well as contributed to outline prospects for foreseeable period. It has allowed to identify main directions of technical and technological development of productive forces characteristic of the fourth industrial revolution.The objective of the research was to identify those directions that are appropriate to be applied in relation to rail transport as well as to choose a few specific technical and technological solutions.In the field of digitalisation, it is proposed to focus on development and implementation of intelligent management systems for each workplace or of intelligent workplaces (IWP), which ensure development of optimal solutions for numerous operational tasks fulfilled by the dispatchers on duty at railway facilities. It has been determined that for a case of a large rail company like JSC Russian Railways creation of managers’ IWPs should be based on the scale and generality of the tasks solved at numerous similar managed objects since, for example, the number of dispatching sections reaches more than 400, the number of stations and simultaneously moving trains is of several thousand, and of train sheds and infrastructure sections is of several hundred, etc. This allows creating standard systems that are further replicated for specific workplaces while considering local specifics.Intelligent systems integrate as important elements fast-growing production of increasingly miniaturised, and to be underlined, constantly cheaper sensors, capable today of being built into almost any objects that in terms of railways comprise, for example, a wheel of a wagons or of a locomotive, engines, rails, any wagons or containers. This allows continuously monitoring the current state of any objects, as well as their nodes resulting in fundamentally new opportunities for reducing the cost of maintenance of rolling stock and infrastructure, as well as ensuring transport safety. Thus, for the first time ever, the task of achieving «absolute» rail traffic safety can be set.The article includes a forecast of the approximate time of the advent of the fifth industrial revolution and the trajectories of development of technical systems of railways for the period before its start. The use of the results of the study is supposed to facilitate to concretise directions of the promising technical and technological development of rail transport.
第四次工业革命及其对铁路的影响
以四次工业革命的概念为基础,对人类社会工业生产的发展阶段进行了分析,从铁路核心工程系统(基础设施、机车车辆、控制和管理系统)方面回顾了两次工业革命之间铁路的技术和技术发展,并对可预见的时期进行了展望。它可以确定第四次工业革命特征的生产力的技术和技术发展的主要方向。这项研究的目的是确定适用于铁路运输的适当方向,并选择一些具体的技术和技术解决办法。在数字化领域,建议重点开发和实施每个工作场所或智能工作场所(IWP)的智能管理系统,确保为铁路设施值班调度员完成的众多操作任务开发最佳解决方案。已经确定,对于像JSC俄罗斯铁路这样的大型铁路公司的案例,管理人员的iwp的创建应该基于在众多类似管理对象上解决的任务的规模和普遍性,因为例如,调度区段的数量达到400多个,车站和同时移动的列车的数量为数千,车棚和基础设施区段的数量为数百等。这允许创建标准系统,在考虑当地具体情况的同时,进一步复制特定的工作场所。智能系统作为一个重要的组成部分,集成了快速增长的日益小型化的生产,需要强调的是,不断便宜的传感器,今天能够被安装到几乎任何物体中,例如,在铁路方面,包括货车的轮子或机车、发动机、轨道、任何货车或集装箱。这使得可以持续监控任何物体及其节点的当前状态,从而为降低机车车辆和基础设施的维护成本以及确保运输安全提供了新的机会。因此,有史以来第一次可以设定实现“绝对”铁路交通安全的任务。本文预测了第五次工业革命来临的大致时间,并预测了在第五次工业革命开始前铁路技术系统的发展轨迹。研究结果的应用将有助于轨道交通技术发展方向的具体化。
本文章由计算机程序翻译,如有差异,请以英文原文为准。
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