Bayesian-Frequentist Hybrid Inference in Applications with Small Sample Sizes

Gang Han, T. Santner, Haiqun Lin, Ao Yuan
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Abstract

Abstract The Bayesian-frequentist hybrid model and associated inference can combine the advantages of both Bayesian and frequentist methods and avoid their limitations. However, except for few special cases in existing literature, the computation under the hybrid model is generally nontrivial or even unsolvable. This article develops a computation algorithm for hybrid inference under any general loss functions. Three simulation examples demonstrate that hybrid inference can improve upon frequentist inference by incorporating valuable prior information, and also improve Bayesian inference based on non-informative priors where the latter leads to biased estimates for the small sample sizes used in inference. The proposed method is illustrated in applications including a biomechanical engineering design and a surgical treatment of acral lentiginous melanoma.
小样本量应用中的贝叶斯-频率混合推理
摘要贝叶斯-频率混合模型及其关联推理可以结合贝叶斯方法和频率方法的优点,避免两者的局限性。然而,除了现有文献中的少数特殊情况外,混合模型下的计算通常是非平凡的,甚至是不可解的。本文给出了任意一般损失函数下混合推理的计算算法。三个模拟示例表明,混合推理可以通过合并有价值的先验信息来改进频率推理,并且还可以改进基于非信息先验的贝叶斯推理,后者导致在推理中使用的小样本量的有偏差估计。所提出的方法在包括生物力学工程设计和肢端晶状体黑色素瘤的手术治疗在内的应用中得到说明。
本文章由计算机程序翻译,如有差异,请以英文原文为准。
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