The concept of national integrated risk management of aviation transport of Ukraine

D. Bugayko, Yuliya Ierkovska, Fariz Aliyev, Mariia Bahrii
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引用次数: 1

Abstract

In the context of modern conditions of air transport development, the concept of the national air transport integrated risk management system is substantiated. The concept is based on the definition of risk as the probability of occurrence of events in a complex of hazards of different nature, manifestations of safety vulnerabilities, consequences of past negative phenomena and explains the danger of the threat due to determination "maximum potential energy". Its remaining part is subsequently converted into kinetic energy, which affects the safety management system of air transport and has a negative impact on the sustainable development of the national economy as a whole. At the same time, priority attention is paid to the list of hazards by the criterion of deviation from the point of sustainable development, the importance of the impact of threats on the coefficient of elasticity, which allows more adequate assessment of hazards and respond to them. The classification of the main risks in the functioning of Ukrainian air transport has been developed, which includes the negative consequences of the COVID-19 pandemic, reduction of export-import operations in the economic downturn, number of flights and air passenger traffic, low congestion of airports and air infrastructure. Risks are identified in the following areas of operation and development of air transport in Ukraine: export-import operations, aviation infrastructure, air cargo, airports, air navigation service providers and general aviation, which allows early detection of risks and response to them. The concept was implemented by the State Aviation Regulation Department of the Ministry of Defense of Ukraine, the State Civil Aviation Agency of Azerbaijan, Almaty International Airport (Kazakhstan), Ukraine-Air Alliance, ICAO NAU Institute, Georgian Aviation Training Center (Georgia).
乌克兰航空运输国家综合风险管理构想
在现代航空运输发展条件的背景下,国家航空运输综合风险管理体系的概念得到了充实。这个概念是基于对风险的定义,即在不同性质的危险、安全漏洞的表现、过去负面现象的后果的复杂事件中发生事件的概率,并解释了由于确定“最大势能”而产生的威胁的危险性。其剩余部分随后转化为动能,影响航空运输安全管理体系,对整个国民经济的可持续发展产生负面影响。同时,优先注意从可持续发展角度出发的偏离标准的危害清单,重视威胁对弹性系数的影响,从而能够更充分地评估危害并作出反应。已经对乌克兰航空运输运作中的主要风险进行了分类,其中包括COVID-19大流行的负面影响、经济衰退期间进出口业务的减少、航班和航空客运量的减少、机场和航空基础设施的低拥堵程度。在乌克兰航空运输的下列业务和发展领域确定了风险:进出口业务、航空基础设施、航空货运、机场、空中导航服务提供商和通用航空,从而能够及早发现风险并对其作出反应。该概念由乌克兰国防部国家航空管制司、阿塞拜疆国家民航局、阿拉木图国际机场(哈萨克斯坦)、乌克兰航空联盟、国际民航组织NAU研究所、格鲁吉亚航空培训中心(格鲁吉亚)实施。
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