Safety assessment of navigation environment in waterway based on extension matter-element

Xin Wen
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Abstract

With the continuous development of maritime transportation, the flow of ships and the density of navigation are growing continuously. The traffic of ships is getting busier. As a result, the number of maritime traffic accidents is more than before, and the navigation environment is becoming more complex. Therefore, it is necessary to make a scientific and reasonable assessment. This paper identifies the factors that affect the safe navigation of channels from the perspective of navigation environment in a traditional system engineering way. In addition, this paper pursues establishing a model based on extension matter-element theory for these factors, combined with AHP method, to evaluate the safety of the traffic navigation environment of channels. 3 channels of the Ningbo Zhoushan Port are selected as an example to verify the accuracy of the model. The safety assessment results of Ningbo Zhoushan port show that they are all of low risk. Finally, it is concluded that the matter-element model is accurate for navigation environment safety assessment.
基于可拓物元的水路航行环境安全评价
随着海上运输的不断发展,船舶流量和航行密度不断增长。船舶的交通越来越繁忙。因此,海上交通事故的数量比以前多,航行环境也变得更加复杂。因此,有必要对其进行科学合理的评估。本文采用传统的系统工程方法,从航行环境的角度对影响航道安全航行的因素进行识别。在此基础上,结合层次分析法,建立了基于可拓物元理论的通道交通航行环境安全评价模型。以宁波舟山港3个航道为例,验证了模型的准确性。宁波舟山港的安全评价结果表明,各港口均为低风险。最后得出了物元模型在航海环境安全评价中的准确性。
本文章由计算机程序翻译,如有差异,请以英文原文为准。
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